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Luka Dončić
Luka Dončić
Los Angeles Lakers · G
Forecast

Luka Dončić: projected impact 8.0 in 2026-27 (band 5.9–10.0, BPM scale).

8.0
Projected impact · 2026-27
Luka Dončić: projected impact 8.0 in 2026-27 (band 5.9–10.0, BPM scale).6789105.910.0Last season's impact 8.98.080 % range
5.9
Projected impact · min · 2026-27
10.0
Projected impact · max · 2026-27
8.9
Last season's impact
Season 2026-27 · current model · computed 2026-09-20
▸ See evidence · 1 pieces of evidence
  1. Projection 2026-27: impact 8.0 · band 5.9–10.0 · model player-engine-v1.0 · 2026-09-20
Limits
  • Forecast from the current model; revised with each roster change or injury. See the proof for its evaluation.
  • Impact on the BPM scale (−13…+13); it is not a points, rebounds or assists line.
Revision 936ceed2 · model · 2026-09-20
Other readings of Luka Dončić
Observed

Luka Dončić goes from 28.2 to 33.5 points per game in 2024-25→2025-26: his best stretch in 8 seasons.

33.5
Points per game · 2025-26
Luka Dončić goes from 28.2 to 33.5 points per game in 2024-25→2025-26: his best stretch in 8 seasons.33.5
Career · 2018-19–2025-26 · 8 seasons
Measured

Luka Dončić sits in the 100th percentile among the league's guards in scoring (2025-26).

100
Percentile · Scoring · 2025-26
Luka Dončić sits in the 100th percentile among the league's guards in scoring (2025-26).ScoringP100Reboundi…P99Playmaki…P99
Against 178 league guards with ≥ 20 games and ≥ 15 min
Measured

With Dončić on the floor his team is 3.7 points worse per 100 possessions than without him (2025-26).

-3.7
On/off difference · per 100 possessions · 2025-26
With Dončić on the floor his team is 3.7 points worse per 100 possessions than without him (2025-26).With him on th…1.8With him off t…5.5
Real lineups of 2025-26 · 1,648 min with him · 433 min without
Observed

Luka Dončić: 6 tracking signals with a league rank in 2025-26; the highest, points created by assists (#4 of 414).

20.6
Points created by assists · 2025-26
Luka Dončić: 6 tracking signals with a league rank in 2025-26; the highest, points created by assists (#4 of 414).Kilometres…Points per…Paint touc…Drives per…Points cre…Rebound co…
Optical tracking · 2025-26 · ranks among players with ≥ 30 games
Observed

Luka Dončić passes most to LeBron James (10.58 passes per game) in 2025-26; 8 teammates with ≥ 1 pass per game.

10.58
Most frequent connection · Passes per game · 2025-26
Luka Dončić passes most to LeBron James (10.58 passes per game) in 2025-26; 8 teammates with ≥ 1 pass per game.LeBron… 10.58Austin… 8.45Marcus… 7.09Jake La… 5.59
Passes made per game · 2025-26 · regular season
Observed

Luka Dončić in 2025-26: 1447 field goal attempts with location, 1.12 points per attempt; 43 % come from above the break (37.6 % made).

1.12
Points per attempt · 2025-26
Luka Dončić in 2025-26: 1447 field goal attempts with location, 1.12 points per attempt; 43 % come from above the break (37.6 % made).
2025-26 · 1447 field goal attempts with location · validated NBA geometry
Profile · Luka Dončić →