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Reading · Outlook
Chet Holmgren
Chet Holmgren
Oklahoma City Thunder · Center-Forward
Forecast

Chet Holmgren: projected impact 4.0 in 2026-27 (band 1.9–6.1, BPM scale).

4.0
Projected impact · 2026-27
Chet Holmgren: projected impact 4.0 in 2026-27 (band 1.9–6.1, BPM scale).234561.96.1Last season's impact 4.94.080 % range
1.9
Projected impact · min · 2026-27
6.1
Projected impact · max · 2026-27
4.9
Last season's impact
Season 2026-27 · current model · computed 2026-09-20
▸ See evidence · 1 pieces of evidence
  1. Projection 2026-27: impact 4.0 · band 1.9–6.1 · model player-engine-v1.0 · 2026-09-20
Limits
  • Forecast from the current model; revised with each roster change or injury. See the proof for its evaluation.
  • Impact on the BPM scale (−13…+13); it is not a points, rebounds or assists line.
Revision 86cfafb9 · model · 2026-09-20
Other readings of Chet Holmgren
Observed

Chet Holmgren goes from 15.0 to 17.1 points per game in 2024-25→2025-26: his best stretch in 3 seasons.

17.1
Points per game · 2025-26
Chet Holmgren goes from 15.0 to 17.1 points per game in 2024-25→2025-26: his best stretch in 3 seasons.17.1
Career · 2023-24–2025-26 · 3 seasons
Measured

Chet Holmgren sits in the 99th percentile among the league's forwards and centres in blocks (2025-26).

99
Percentile · Blocks · 2025-26
Chet Holmgren sits in the 99th percentile among the league's forwards and centres in blocks (2025-26).BlocksP99Reboundi…P91ScoringP81
Against 171 league forwards and centres with ≥ 20 games and ≥ 15 min
Measured

With Holmgren on the floor his team is 16.3 points better per 100 possessions than without him (2025-26).

+16.3
On/off difference · per 100 possessions · 2025-26
With Holmgren on the floor his team is 16.3 points better per 100 possessions than without him (2025-26).With him on th…18.7With him off t…2.4
Real lineups of 2025-26 · 1,284 min with him · 649 min without
Observed

Chet Holmgren: 6 tracking signals with a league rank in 2025-26; the highest, paint touches (#37 of 414).

5.4
Paint touches · 2025-26
Chet Holmgren: 6 tracking signals with a league rank in 2025-26; the highest, paint touches (#37 of 414).Kilometres…Points per…Paint touc…Drives per…Points cre…Rebound co…
Optical tracking · 2025-26 · ranks among players with ≥ 30 games
Observed

Chet Holmgren passes most to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (8.32 passes per game) in 2025-26; 8 teammates with ≥ 1 pass per game.

8.32
Most frequent connection · Passes per game · 2025-26
Chet Holmgren passes most to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (8.32 passes per game) in 2025-26; 8 teammates with ≥ 1 pass per game.Shai Gi… 8.32Jalen W… 3.86Cason W… 3.59Ajay Mi… 3.36
Passes made per game · 2025-26 · regular season
Observed

Chet Holmgren in 2025-26: 934 field goal attempts with location, 1.23 points per attempt; 43 % come from at the rim (75.9 % made).

1.23
Points per attempt · 2025-26
Chet Holmgren in 2025-26: 934 field goal attempts with location, 1.23 points per attempt; 43 % come from at the rim (75.9 % made).
2025-26 · 934 field goal attempts with location · validated NBA geometry
Profile · Chet Holmgren →