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Reading · Outlook
Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets · Forward
Forecast

Jabari Smith Jr.: projected impact 0.6 in 2026-27 (band -1.5–2.7, BPM scale).

0.6
Projected impact · 2026-27
Jabari Smith Jr.: projected impact 0.6 in 2026-27 (band -1.5–2.7, BPM scale).-1012-1.52.7Last season's impact 0.30.680 % range
-1.5
Projected impact · min · 2026-27
2.7
Projected impact · max · 2026-27
0.3
Last season's impact
Season 2026-27 · current model · computed 2026-09-20
▸ See evidence · 1 pieces of evidence
  1. Projection 2026-27: impact 0.6 · band -1.5–2.7 · model player-engine-v1.0 · 2026-09-20
Limits
  • Forecast from the current model; revised with each roster change or injury. See the proof for its evaluation.
  • Impact on the BPM scale (−13…+13); it is not a points, rebounds or assists line.
Revision 457f0b96 · model · 2026-09-20
Other readings of Jabari Smith Jr.
Observed

Jabari Smith Jr. goes from 12.2 to 15.8 points per game in 2024-25→2025-26: his best stretch in 4 seasons.

15.8
Points per game · 2025-26
Jabari Smith Jr. goes from 12.2 to 15.8 points per game in 2024-25→2025-26: his best stretch in 4 seasons.15.8
Career · 2022-23–2025-26 · 4 seasons
Measured

Jabari Smith Jr. sits in the 76th percentile among the league's forwards and centres in scoring (2025-26).

76
Percentile · Scoring · 2025-26
Jabari Smith Jr. sits in the 76th percentile among the league's forwards and centres in scoring (2025-26).ScoringP76BlocksP76Reboundi…P74
Against 171 league forwards and centres with ≥ 20 games and ≥ 15 min
Measured

With Jr. on the floor his team is 1.1 points worse per 100 possessions than without him (2025-26).

-1.1
On/off difference · per 100 possessions · 2025-26
With Jr. on the floor his team is 1.1 points worse per 100 possessions than without him (2025-26).With him on th…6.4With him off t…7.5
Real lineups of 2025-26 · 2,201 min with him · 701 min without
Observed

Jabari Smith Jr.: 6 tracking signals with a league rank in 2025-26; the highest, kilometres per game (#11 of 414).

4.02 km
Kilometres per game · 2025-26
Jabari Smith Jr.: 6 tracking signals with a league rank in 2025-26; the highest, kilometres per game (#11 of 414).Kilometres…Points per…Paint touc…Drives per…Points cre…Rebound co…
Optical tracking · 2025-26 · ranks among players with ≥ 30 games
Observed

Jabari Smith Jr. passes most to Amen Thompson (10.57 passes per game) in 2025-26; 7 teammates with ≥ 1 pass per game.

10.57
Most frequent connection · Passes per game · 2025-26
Jabari Smith Jr. passes most to Amen Thompson (10.57 passes per game) in 2025-26; 7 teammates with ≥ 1 pass per game.Amen Th… 10.57Kevin D… 6.31Alperen… 5.91Reed Sh… 5.61
Passes made per game · 2025-26 · regular season
Observed

Jabari Smith Jr. in 2025-26: 1046 field goal attempts with location, 1.08 points per attempt; 32 % come from above the break (36.7 % made).

1.08
Points per attempt · 2025-26
Jabari Smith Jr. in 2025-26: 1046 field goal attempts with location, 1.08 points per attempt; 32 % come from above the break (36.7 % made).
2025-26 · 1046 field goal attempts with location · validated NBA geometry
Profile · Jabari Smith Jr. →