Win probability changed during the game. · 10 June 2026
It was more exciting than 47% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NYK leads and falls when SAS does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · SAS
Wembanyama · Vassell · Fox · Castle · Harper
Closing lineup · NYK
Anunoby · Hart · Bridges · Towns · Robinson
Victor Wembanyama
44′ · +1
Devin Vassell
40′ · -7
De'Aaron Fox
37′ · +1
Julian Champagnie
33′ · -4
Stephon Castle
26′ · -11
Dylan Harper
32′ · +12
Keldon Johnson
18′ · -1
Luke Kornet
4′ · -2
Carter Bryant
5′ · +6
Jalen Brunson
44′ · +11
OG Anunoby
41′ · -1
Josh Hart
33′ · +11
Mikal Bridges
28′ · -2
Karl-Anthony Towns
26′ · +17
Mitchell Robinson
13′ · -14
Landry Shamet
20′ · -13
Ariel Hukporti
3′ · +3
Jose Alvarado
16′ · +9
Miles McBride
7′ · -14
Jeremy Sochan
3′ · -6
Jordan Clarkson
5′ · +2
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAS and NYK.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
San Antonio Spurs
Fox, Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Castle played 10.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Fox, Johnson, Vassell, Wembanyama, and Harper played 8.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Fox, Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Harper played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
New York Knicks
Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 7.5 minutes together.
Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Brunson, and Alvarado played 7.0 minutes together.
Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Robinson played 4.9 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each New York Knicks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
▸See every lineup of the game
San Antonio Spurs
Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Fox, Champagnie, Wembanyama, Harper, and Bryant played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Johnson, Vassell, Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Fox, Vassell, Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Fox, Johnson, Vassell, Champagnie, and Wembanyama played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Fox, Johnson, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Harper played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Kornet, Vassell, Champagnie, Castle, and Harper played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Kornet, Vassell, Champagnie, Castle, and Bryant played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Fox, Johnson, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Castle played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
New York Knicks
Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Shamet played 2.9 minutes together.
Towns, Anunoby, Brunson, Shamet, and McBride played 2.7 minutes together.
Anunoby, Brunson, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 2.5 minutes together.
Anunoby, Brunson, Robinson, Shamet, and Clarkson played 2.4 minutes together.
Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Sochan played 2.3 minutes together.
Towns, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Alvarado played 1.8 minutes together.
Hart, Bridges, Brunson, Shamet, and Hukporti played 1.7 minutes together.
Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Hukporti played 1.6 minutes together.
Towns, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Clarkson played 1.4 minutes together.
Towns, Hart, Brunson, Shamet, and Alvarado played 1.4 minutes together.
Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Shamet, and Alvarado played 1.3 minutes together.
Towns, Anunoby, Shamet, McBride, and Alvarado played 1.3 minutes together.
Anunoby, Brunson, Robinson, Shamet, and Alvarado played 1.2 minutes together.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

