FORECAST · EuroLeague
What Forecast expects
Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.
UpdatedAs of 24 Sept378 games with a forecast
The current snapshot's call for games still to play; games already played show the call sealed before tip-off and the result.
378 games with a forecast: Regular Season.
23 MarULK @ HTAFavourite · HTA 54%Upcoming23 MarPAN @ ASVFavourite · PAN 62%Upcoming23 MarMIL @ PRSFavourite · PRS 63%Upcoming23 MarVIR @ PARFavourite · PAR 72%Upcoming24 MarTEL @ ZALFavourite · ZAL 70%Upcoming24 MarMAD @ MUNFavourite · MUN 54%Upcoming24 MarBAR @ OLYFavourite · OLY 77%Upcoming24 MarBES @ PAMFavourite · PAM 70%Upcoming25 MarBAS @ ISTFavourite · IST 65%Upcoming25 MarDUB @ HTAFavourite · HTA 62%Upcoming25 MarPRS @ ASVFavourite · PRS 51%Upcoming25 MarPAR @ PANFavourite · PAN 72%Upcoming26 MarBAR @ ULKFavourite · ULK 70%Upcoming26 MarPAM @ REDFavourite · RED 55%Upcoming26 MarZAL @ MUNFavourite · MUN 59%Upcoming26 MarVIR @ OLYFavourite · OLY 86%Upcoming26 MarTEL @ MILFavourite · MIL 62%Upcoming26 MarBES @ MADFavourite · MAD 73%Upcoming31 MarOLY @ ISTFavourite · OLY 63%Upcoming31 MarHTA @ ZALFavourite · ZAL 67%Upcoming31 MarRED @ VIRFavourite · VIR 53%Upcoming1 AprULK @ TELFavourite · TEL 51%Upcoming1 AprBES @ MILFavourite · MIL 60%Upcoming1 AprMAD @ PAMFavourite · PAM 61%Upcoming1 AprDUB @ PRSFavourite · PRS 57%Upcoming2 AprMUN @ BASFavourite · BAS 54%Upcoming2 AprPAN @ BARFavourite · BAR 59%Upcoming2 AprASV @ PARFavourite · PAR 77%Upcoming6 AprHTA @ BESFavourite · BES 62%Upcoming6 AprOLY @ ULKFavourite · ULK 54%Upcoming6 AprPAN @ REDFavourite · RED 55%Upcoming6 AprASV @ BASFavourite · BAS 72%Upcoming6 AprPAM @ VIRFavourite · PAM 56%Upcoming6 AprMUN @ BARFavourite · BAR 66%Upcoming6 AprIST @ PRSFavourite · PRS 66%Upcoming6 AprMIL @ MADFavourite · MAD 75%Upcoming7 AprZAL @ DUBFavourite · DUB 60%Upcoming7 AprPAR @ TELFavourite · TEL 63%Upcoming8 AprRED @ HTAFavourite · HTA 65%Upcoming8 AprMAD @ ASVFavourite · MAD 65%Upcoming
HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD
Measured over 5 games: it picked the right side 60% of the time and its average error (Brier) was 0.252.
Historical backing: 1,298 games from E2022–E2025, error 0.215 versus 0.232 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).
This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.