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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

21 OctGSW @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 67%
Upcoming
23 OctMEM @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 74%
Upcoming
24 OctGSW @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 53%
Upcoming
26 OctGSW @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 72%
Upcoming
28 OctGSW @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 61%
Upcoming
30 OctLAL @ GSW
Favourite · LAL 53%
Upcoming
1 NovLAC @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 69%
Upcoming
2 NovPHX @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 61%
Upcoming
5 NovMIA @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 63%
Upcoming
7 NovORL @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 57%
Upcoming
9 NovNOP @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 65%
Upcoming
11 NovGSW @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 70%
Upcoming
13 NovGSW @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 71%
Upcoming
16 NovGSW @ NOP
Favourite · GSW 51%
Upcoming
18 NovGSW @ DAL
Favourite · GSW 56%
Upcoming
19 NovGSW @ MEM
Favourite · GSW 62%
Upcoming
22 NovBOS @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 51%
Upcoming
25 NovSAC @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 77%
Upcoming
27 NovGSW @ POR
Favourite · POR 55%
Upcoming
29 NovLAC @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 69%
Upcoming
1 DecUTA @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 70%
Upcoming
12 DecGSW @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 69%
Upcoming
14 DecGSW @ MEM
Favourite · GSW 62%
Upcoming
16 DecGSW @ IND
Favourite · GSW 52%
Upcoming
18 DecGSW @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 67%
Upcoming
20 DecGSW @ MIL
Favourite · GSW 54%
Upcoming
22 DecDAL @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 69%
Upcoming
23 DecGSW @ LAC
Favourite · GSW 56%
Upcoming
25 DecDEN @ GSW
Favourite · DEN 59%
Upcoming
27 DecMIN @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 53%
Upcoming
28 DecGSW @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 53%
Upcoming
30 DecHOU @ GSW
Favourite · HOU 56%
Upcoming
2 JanBKN @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 74%
Upcoming
6 JanNYK @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 55%
Upcoming
7 JanDET @ GSW
Favourite · DET 54%
Upcoming
9 JanCHI @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 65%
Upcoming
12 JanSAC @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 77%
Upcoming
13 JanCHA @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 60%
Upcoming
15 JanGSW @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 52%
Upcoming
17 JanGSW @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 51%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.