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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

19 JanGSW @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 57%
Upcoming
21 JanLAL @ GSW
Favourite · LAL 53%
Upcoming
22 JanMIL @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 68%
Upcoming
24 JanOKC @ GSW
Favourite · OKC 68%
Upcoming
27 JanGSW @ POR
Favourite · POR 55%
Upcoming
28 JanGSW @ UTA
Favourite · GSW 57%
Upcoming
30 JanSAS @ GSW
Favourite · SAS 58%
Upcoming
1 FebSAS @ GSW
Favourite · SAS 58%
Upcoming
3 FebGSW @ LAC
Favourite · GSW 56%
Upcoming
5 FebGSW @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 55%
Upcoming
7 FebGSW @ DET
Favourite · DET 67%
Upcoming
9 FebGSW @ CHI
Favourite · GSW 51%
Upcoming
10 FebGSW @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 63%
Upcoming
13 FebGSW @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 59%
Upcoming
15 FebIND @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 66%
Upcoming
17 FebNOP @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 65%
Upcoming
25 FebDAL @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 69%
Upcoming
1 MarGSW @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 70%
Upcoming
2 MarGSW @ DAL
Favourite · GSW 56%
Upcoming
4 MarWAS @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 76%
Upcoming
7 MarHOU @ GSW
Favourite · HOU 56%
Upcoming
9 MarPOR @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 59%
Upcoming
10 MarGSW @ SAC
Favourite · GSW 65%
Upcoming
12 MarGSW @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 72%
Upcoming
14 MarGSW @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 67%
Upcoming
16 MarCLE @ GSW
Favourite · CLE 55%
Upcoming
17 MarMEM @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 74%
Upcoming
19 MarPOR @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 59%
Upcoming
22 MarATL @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 62%
Upcoming
24 MarPHI @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 55%
Upcoming
25 MarTOR @ GSW
Favourite · TOR 54%
Upcoming
27 MarGSW @ WAS
Favourite · GSW 64%
Upcoming
29 MarGSW @ BKN
Favourite · GSW 61%
Upcoming
31 MarGSW @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 59%
Upcoming
2 AprGSW @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 61%
Upcoming
4 AprGSW @ SAC
Favourite · GSW 65%
Upcoming
6 AprPHX @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 61%
Upcoming
8 AprGSW @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 79%
Upcoming
9 AprGSW @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 79%
Upcoming
11 AprUTA @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 70%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.