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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

21 OctIND @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 58%
Upcoming
23 OctDAL @ IND
Favourite · IND 60%
Upcoming
25 OctIND @ BKN
Favourite · IND 51%
Upcoming
26 OctIND @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 56%
Upcoming
28 OctPHI @ IND
Favourite · PHI 55%
Upcoming
30 OctIND @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 61%
Upcoming
1 NovBKN @ IND
Favourite · IND 65%
Upcoming
2 NovATL @ IND
Favourite · IND 53%
Upcoming
4 NovIND @ MEM
Favourite · IND 52%
Upcoming
7 NovDEN @ IND
Favourite · DEN 68%
Upcoming
9 NovIND @ DAL
Favourite · DAL 54%
Upcoming
11 NovWAS @ IND
Favourite · IND 68%
Upcoming
13 NovNYK @ IND
Favourite · NYK 55%
Upcoming
15 NovIND @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 68%
Upcoming
18 NovHOU @ IND
Favourite · HOU 65%
Upcoming
20 NovIND @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 76%
Upcoming
22 NovIND @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 68%
Upcoming
23 NovOKC @ IND
Favourite · OKC 76%
Upcoming
27 NovPHI @ IND
Favourite · PHI 55%
Upcoming
28 NovIND @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 59%
Upcoming
1 DecIND @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 76%
Upcoming
3 DecIND @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 61%
Upcoming
13 DecDET @ IND
Favourite · DET 63%
Upcoming
16 DecGSW @ IND
Favourite · GSW 52%
Upcoming
17 DecPOR @ IND
Favourite · POR 50%
Upcoming
20 DecIND @ LAC
Favourite · LAC 54%
Upcoming
21 DecIND @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 75%
Upcoming
23 DecIND @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 62%
Upcoming
26 DecIND @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 52%
Upcoming
27 DecIND @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 79%
Upcoming
29 DecLAC @ IND
Favourite · IND 60%
Upcoming
31 DecORL @ IND
Favourite · ORL 53%
Upcoming
2 JanMIN @ IND
Favourite · MIN 57%
Upcoming
4 JanCHI @ IND
Favourite · IND 55%
Upcoming
6 JanIND @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 78%
Upcoming
7 JanIND @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 61%
Upcoming
9 JanMIL @ IND
Favourite · IND 58%
Upcoming
11 JanBKN @ IND
Favourite · IND 65%
Upcoming
13 JanMIL @ IND
Favourite · IND 58%
Upcoming
15 JanPHX @ IND
Favourite · IND 52%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.