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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

17 JanIND @ WAS
Favourite · IND 55%
Upcoming
19 JanIND @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 68%
Upcoming
20 JanIND @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 72%
Upcoming
22 JanIND @ DET
Favourite · DET 75%
Upcoming
26 JanCHI @ IND
Favourite · IND 55%
Upcoming
28 JanLAL @ IND
Favourite · LAL 63%
Upcoming
30 JanWAS @ IND
Favourite · IND 68%
Upcoming
1 FebMIA @ IND
Favourite · IND 53%
Upcoming
3 FebATL @ IND
Favourite · IND 53%
Upcoming
5 FebIND @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 85%
Upcoming
8 FebNOP @ IND
Favourite · IND 56%
Upcoming
10 FebCLE @ IND
Favourite · CLE 65%
Upcoming
11 FebUTA @ IND
Favourite · IND 62%
Upcoming
13 FebSAC @ IND
Favourite · IND 69%
Upcoming
15 FebIND @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 66%
Upcoming
17 FebIND @ SAC
Favourite · IND 56%
Upcoming
18 FebIND @ POR
Favourite · POR 64%
Upcoming
26 FebIND @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 70%
Upcoming
28 FebTOR @ IND
Favourite · TOR 63%
Upcoming
2 MarBOS @ IND
Favourite · BOS 59%
Upcoming
4 MarIND @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 67%
Upcoming
6 MarIND @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 61%
Upcoming
8 MarCHA @ IND
Favourite · CHA 50%
Upcoming
11 MarIND @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 64%
Upcoming
13 MarIND @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 77%
Upcoming
15 MarIND @ BKN
Favourite · IND 51%
Upcoming
16 MarDET @ IND
Favourite · DET 63%
Upcoming
18 MarTOR @ IND
Favourite · TOR 63%
Upcoming
20 MarIND @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 56%
Upcoming
22 MarIND @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 67%
Upcoming
24 MarMEM @ IND
Favourite · IND 66%
Upcoming
25 MarSAS @ IND
Favourite · SAS 67%
Upcoming
29 MarIND @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 59%
Upcoming
30 MarBOS @ IND
Favourite · BOS 59%
Upcoming
1 AprORL @ IND
Favourite · ORL 53%
Upcoming
4 AprIND @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 75%
Upcoming
6 AprIND @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 64%
Upcoming
7 AprIND @ DET
Favourite · DET 75%
Upcoming
9 AprCLE @ IND
Favourite · CLE 65%
Upcoming
11 AprIND @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 68%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.