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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

21 OctMIN @ MIA
Favourite · MIN 53%
Upcoming
23 OctDET @ MIA
Favourite · DET 59%
Upcoming
24 OctMIA @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 60%
Upcoming
26 OctDAL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 64%
Upcoming
28 OctMIA @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 57%
Upcoming
30 OctIND @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 61%
Upcoming
2 NovMIA @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 72%
Upcoming
4 NovMIA @ LAC
Favourite · LAC 50%
Upcoming
5 NovMIA @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 63%
Upcoming
8 NovMIA @ SAC
Favourite · MIA 60%
Upcoming
10 NovMIA @ UTA
Favourite · MIA 52%
Upcoming
13 NovCLE @ MIA
Favourite · CLE 61%
Upcoming
14 NovDET @ MIA
Favourite · DET 59%
Upcoming
16 NovHOU @ MIA
Favourite · HOU 62%
Upcoming
18 NovMIL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 62%
Upcoming
22 NovOKC @ MIA
Favourite · OKC 73%
Upcoming
25 NovMIA @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 65%
Upcoming
27 NovMIA @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 65%
Upcoming
29 NovMIA @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 74%
Upcoming
1 DecATL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 57%
Upcoming
3 DecWAS @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 72%
Upcoming
12 DecNYK @ MIA
Favourite · NYK 51%
Upcoming
14 DecMIA @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 55%
Upcoming
16 DecMIA @ MEM
Favourite · MIA 56%
Upcoming
18 DecLAC @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 64%
Upcoming
20 DecSAC @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 72%
Upcoming
21 DecCHI @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 59%
Upcoming
23 DecCHI @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 59%
Upcoming
25 DecMIA @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 69%
Upcoming
27 DecCHA @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 54%
Upcoming
29 DecMIA @ DAL
Favourite · DAL 50%
Upcoming
31 DecMIA @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 83%
Upcoming
2 JanMIA @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 54%
Upcoming
5 JanMEM @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 70%
Upcoming
7 JanMIA @ BKN
Favourite · MIA 55%
Upcoming
8 JanMIA @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 65%
Upcoming
10 JanNOP @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 60%
Upcoming
12 JanBKN @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 69%
Upcoming
14 JanMIA @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 65%
Upcoming
15 JanMIA @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 72%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.