SportiveWorld

FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

UpdatedAs of 25 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

17 JanGSW @ MIA
Favourite · GSW 50%
Upcoming
19 JanPOR @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 52%
Upcoming
20 JanMIA @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 77%
Upcoming
23 JanATL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 54%
Upcoming
25 JanMIA @ BKN
Favourite · MIA 54%
Upcoming
28 JanMIA @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 54%
Upcoming
30 JanPHI @ MIA
Favourite · PHI 52%
Upcoming
1 FebMIA @ IND
Favourite · IND 55%
Upcoming
2 FebCHA @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 53%
Upcoming
4 FebMIL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 61%
Upcoming
6 FebMIA @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 68%
Upcoming
8 FebMIA @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 60%
Upcoming
10 FebMIA @ WAS
Favourite · MIA 57%
Upcoming
12 FebMIA @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 65%
Upcoming
14 FebBKN @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 67%
Upcoming
15 FebSAS @ MIA
Favourite · SAS 65%
Upcoming
17 FebMIA @ WAS
Favourite · MIA 57%
Upcoming
25 FebMIA @ DET
Favourite · DET 74%
Upcoming
28 FebMIA @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 76%
Upcoming
2 MarTOR @ MIA
Favourite · TOR 61%
Upcoming
3 MarTOR @ MIA
Favourite · TOR 61%
Upcoming
6 MarIND @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 59%
Upcoming
8 MarPHX @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 54%
Upcoming
10 MarORL @ MIA
Favourite · ORL 51%
Upcoming
12 MarMIA @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 54%
Upcoming
14 MarMIA @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 78%
Upcoming
17 MarMIA @ POR
Favourite · POR 62%
Upcoming
19 MarMIA @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 60%
Upcoming
21 MarDEN @ MIA
Favourite · DEN 66%
Upcoming
23 MarLAL @ MIA
Favourite · LAL 61%
Upcoming
25 MarUTA @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 62%
Upcoming
27 MarBOS @ MIA
Favourite · BOS 57%
Upcoming
29 MarMIA @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 75%
Upcoming
30 MarMIA @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 61%
Upcoming
2 AprMIA @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 70%
Upcoming
4 AprMIA @ DET
Favourite · DET 74%
Upcoming
5 AprMIA @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 65%
Upcoming
8 AprPHI @ MIA
Favourite · PHI 52%
Upcoming
9 AprWAS @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 70%
Upcoming
11 AprORL @ MIA
Favourite · ORL 51%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.