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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

15 JanCLE @ MIL
Favourite · CLE 66%
Upcoming
17 JanMIL @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 76%
Upcoming
20 JanMIL @ SAC
Favourite · MIL 54%
Upcoming
22 JanMIL @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 68%
Upcoming
23 JanMIL @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 80%
Upcoming
26 JanMIL @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 54%
Upcoming
28 JanMIA @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 52%
Upcoming
30 JanATL @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 52%
Upcoming
1 FebMEM @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 65%
Upcoming
4 FebMIL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 62%
Upcoming
6 FebMIL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 76%
Upcoming
8 FebORL @ MIL
Favourite · ORL 54%
Upcoming
9 FebSAC @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 68%
Upcoming
11 FebMIL @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 65%
Upcoming
13 FebMIL @ WAS
Favourite · MIL 53%
Upcoming
16 FebMIL @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 77%
Upcoming
17 FebMIL @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 77%
Upcoming
25 FebWAS @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 67%
Upcoming
28 FebMIL @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 70%
Upcoming
2 MarDET @ MIL
Favourite · DET 64%
Upcoming
3 MarUTA @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 60%
Upcoming
5 MarMIL @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 60%
Upcoming
9 MarMIL @ BKN
Favourite · MIL 50%
Upcoming
11 MarMIL @ DET
Favourite · DET 76%
Upcoming
12 MarMIA @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 52%
Upcoming
16 MarORL @ MIL
Favourite · ORL 54%
Upcoming
18 MarDET @ MIL
Favourite · DET 64%
Upcoming
20 MarIND @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 56%
Upcoming
22 MarWAS @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 67%
Upcoming
24 MarMIL @ LAC
Favourite · LAC 55%
Upcoming
26 MarMIL @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 64%
Upcoming
27 MarMIL @ POR
Favourite · POR 66%
Upcoming
29 MarDAL @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 59%
Upcoming
31 MarNOP @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 55%
Upcoming
2 AprCHA @ MIL
Favourite · CHA 51%
Upcoming
4 AprBKN @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 64%
Upcoming
6 AprCHI @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 54%
Upcoming
8 AprNYK @ MIL
Favourite · NYK 56%
Upcoming
9 AprMIL @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 60%
Upcoming
11 AprMIL @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 73%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.