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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

UpdatedAs of 24 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

16 JanMIN @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 55%
Upcoming
18 JanMIN @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 55%
Upcoming
20 JanHOU @ MIN
Favourite · HOU 52%
Upcoming
22 JanMIN @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 67%
Upcoming
24 JanMIN @ DET
Favourite · DET 64%
Upcoming
25 JanMIN @ MEM
Favourite · MIN 66%
Upcoming
27 JanDEN @ MIN
Favourite · DEN 55%
Upcoming
29 JanCHA @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 65%
Upcoming
31 JanPHX @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 65%
Upcoming
2 FebMIN @ POR
Favourite · POR 51%
Upcoming
4 FebMIN @ SAC
Favourite · MIN 69%
Upcoming
6 FebMIA @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 68%
Upcoming
7 FebUTA @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 73%
Upcoming
9 FebMIN @ BKN
Favourite · MIN 65%
Upcoming
12 FebMIN @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 59%
Upcoming
15 FebMIN @ CHA
Favourite · MIN 51%
Upcoming
18 FebSAS @ MIN
Favourite · SAS 54%
Upcoming
26 FebIND @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 70%
Upcoming
28 FebBOS @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 55%
Upcoming
2 MarMIN @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 76%
Upcoming
5 MarMIN @ PHX
Favourite · MIN 51%
Upcoming
7 MarMIN @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 69%
Upcoming
8 MarNOP @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 69%
Upcoming
10 MarATL @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 65%
Upcoming
13 MarPHI @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 59%
Upcoming
14 MarWAS @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 79%
Upcoming
16 MarMIN @ NOP
Favourite · MIN 56%
Upcoming
18 MarMIN @ UTA
Favourite · MIN 60%
Upcoming
22 MarDET @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 50%
Upcoming
24 MarDAL @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 72%
Upcoming
26 MarORL @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 61%
Upcoming
28 MarOKC @ MIN
Favourite · OKC 64%
Upcoming
29 MarMIN @ ATL
Favourite · MIN 52%
Upcoming
31 MarSAC @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 80%
Upcoming
2 AprGSW @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 61%
Upcoming
4 AprMIN @ DAL
Favourite · MIN 60%
Upcoming
6 AprMIN @ LAC
Favourite · MIN 60%
Upcoming
7 AprMIN @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 63%
Upcoming
9 AprMIN @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 63%
Upcoming
11 AprHOU @ MIN
Favourite · HOU 52%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.