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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

21 OctPHX @ POR
Favourite · POR 59%
Upcoming
23 OctPOR @ SAC
Favourite · POR 63%
Upcoming
27 OctPOR @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 69%
Upcoming
29 OctMEM @ POR
Favourite · POR 73%
Upcoming
31 OctPOR @ UTA
Favourite · POR 55%
Upcoming
2 NovPOR @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 74%
Upcoming
4 NovPOR @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 55%
Upcoming
6 NovPOR @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 69%
Upcoming
7 NovSAS @ POR
Favourite · SAS 60%
Upcoming
10 NovOKC @ POR
Favourite · OKC 70%
Upcoming
11 NovOKC @ POR
Favourite · OKC 70%
Upcoming
13 NovPOR @ SAC
Favourite · POR 63%
Upcoming
16 NovPOR @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 63%
Upcoming
17 NovPOR @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 63%
Upcoming
19 NovPOR @ MIL
Favourite · POR 52%
Upcoming
21 NovPOR @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 61%
Upcoming
23 NovPOR @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 61%
Upcoming
25 NovSAS @ POR
Favourite · SAS 60%
Upcoming
27 NovGSW @ POR
Favourite · POR 55%
Upcoming
29 NovNOP @ POR
Favourite · POR 63%
Upcoming
1 DecMIN @ POR
Favourite · POR 51%
Upcoming
3 DecUTA @ POR
Favourite · POR 69%
Upcoming
12 DecATL @ POR
Favourite · POR 60%
Upcoming
15 DecDEN @ POR
Favourite · DEN 61%
Upcoming
17 DecPOR @ IND
Favourite · POR 50%
Upcoming
19 DecPOR @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 57%
Upcoming
21 DecPOR @ BKN
Favourite · POR 59%
Upcoming
23 DecPOR @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 65%
Upcoming
26 DecPOR @ WAS
Favourite · POR 62%
Upcoming
27 DecPOR @ DET
Favourite · DET 69%
Upcoming
29 DecBKN @ POR
Favourite · POR 72%
Upcoming
2 JanBOS @ POR
Favourite · BOS 51%
Upcoming
4 JanNYK @ POR
Favourite · POR 53%
Upcoming
6 JanPOR @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 51%
Upcoming
7 JanPOR @ DAL
Favourite · POR 54%
Upcoming
9 JanCHA @ POR
Favourite · POR 58%
Upcoming
12 JanORL @ POR
Favourite · POR 55%
Upcoming
13 JanLAL @ POR
Favourite · LAL 55%
Upcoming
15 JanSAC @ POR
Favourite · POR 75%
Upcoming
17 JanPOR @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 81%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.