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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

UpdatedAs of 24 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

19 JanPOR @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 52%
Upcoming
20 JanPOR @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 55%
Upcoming
22 JanPOR @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 59%
Upcoming
24 JanPOR @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 73%
Upcoming
26 JanWAS @ POR
Favourite · POR 75%
Upcoming
27 JanGSW @ POR
Favourite · POR 55%
Upcoming
31 JanPOR @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 74%
Upcoming
2 FebMIN @ POR
Favourite · POR 51%
Upcoming
4 FebCLE @ POR
Favourite · CLE 57%
Upcoming
6 FebPOR @ MEM
Favourite · POR 60%
Upcoming
8 FebPOR @ MEM
Favourite · POR 60%
Upcoming
9 FebPOR @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 81%
Upcoming
11 FebPOR @ DAL
Favourite · POR 54%
Upcoming
13 FebDET @ POR
Favourite · DET 56%
Upcoming
14 FebCHI @ POR
Favourite · POR 63%
Upcoming
16 FebNOP @ POR
Favourite · POR 63%
Upcoming
18 FebIND @ POR
Favourite · POR 64%
Upcoming
26 FebDAL @ POR
Favourite · POR 67%
Upcoming
28 FebPOR @ LAC
Favourite · POR 54%
Upcoming
2 MarLAC @ POR
Favourite · POR 67%
Upcoming
4 MarPOR @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 71%
Upcoming
5 MarPOR @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 69%
Upcoming
7 MarPOR @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 51%
Upcoming
9 MarPOR @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 59%
Upcoming
10 MarDEN @ POR
Favourite · DEN 61%
Upcoming
13 MarLAC @ POR
Favourite · POR 67%
Upcoming
16 MarLAL @ POR
Favourite · LAL 55%
Upcoming
17 MarMIA @ POR
Favourite · POR 62%
Upcoming
19 MarPOR @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 59%
Upcoming
21 MarPOR @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 55%
Upcoming
23 MarTOR @ POR
Favourite · TOR 56%
Upcoming
26 MarPHI @ POR
Favourite · POR 53%
Upcoming
27 MarMIL @ POR
Favourite · POR 66%
Upcoming
30 MarHOU @ POR
Favourite · HOU 58%
Upcoming
31 MarHOU @ POR
Favourite · HOU 58%
Upcoming
2 AprUTA @ POR
Favourite · POR 67%
Upcoming
4 AprPOR @ UTA
Favourite · POR 54%
Upcoming
7 AprDAL @ POR
Favourite · POR 67%
Upcoming
9 AprPOR @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 71%
Upcoming
11 AprPOR @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 73%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.