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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

17 JanTOR @ CHI
Favourite · TOR 61%
Upcoming
19 JanCHI @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 74%
Upcoming
20 JanTOR @ NYK
Favourite · TOR 51%
Upcoming
23 JanTOR @ BKN
Favourite · TOR 71%
Upcoming
25 JanTOR @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 53%
Upcoming
27 JanDAL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 78%
Upcoming
29 JanCLE @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 55%
Upcoming
31 JanBOS @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 61%
Upcoming
2 FebTOR @ DAL
Favourite · TOR 66%
Upcoming
4 FebTOR @ NYK
Favourite · TOR 51%
Upcoming
6 FebMIL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 76%
Upcoming
7 FebCHA @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 69%
Upcoming
9 FebTOR @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 59%
Upcoming
12 FebCLE @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 55%
Upcoming
14 FebTOR @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 53%
Upcoming
16 FebTOR @ ATL
Favourite · TOR 59%
Upcoming
17 FebTOR @ CHA
Favourite · TOR 56%
Upcoming
26 FebATL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 72%
Upcoming
28 FebTOR @ IND
Favourite · TOR 63%
Upcoming
2 MarTOR @ MIA
Favourite · TOR 59%
Upcoming
3 MarTOR @ MIA
Favourite · TOR 59%
Upcoming
5 MarPOR @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 69%
Upcoming
10 MarOKC @ TOR
Favourite · OKC 58%
Upcoming
12 MarTOR @ NOP
Favourite · TOR 62%
Upcoming
14 MarDET @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 57%
Upcoming
15 MarTOR @ PHI
Favourite · TOR 52%
Upcoming
18 MarTOR @ IND
Favourite · TOR 63%
Upcoming
19 MarSAC @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 84%
Upcoming
21 MarTOR @ UTA
Favourite · TOR 67%
Upcoming
23 MarTOR @ POR
Favourite · TOR 56%
Upcoming
25 MarTOR @ GSW
Favourite · TOR 54%
Upcoming
27 MarTOR @ SAC
Favourite · TOR 74%
Upcoming
28 MarTOR @ PHX
Favourite · TOR 58%
Upcoming
31 MarTOR @ DET
Favourite · DET 57%
Upcoming
2 AprATL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 72%
Upcoming
4 AprIND @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 75%
Upcoming
6 AprPHI @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 65%
Upcoming
7 AprBKN @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 81%
Upcoming
9 AprTOR @ ORL
Favourite · TOR 53%
Upcoming
11 AprTOR @ BKN
Favourite · TOR 71%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.