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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

21 OctMIL @ WAS
Favourite · MIL 53%
Upcoming
23 OctTOR @ WAS
Favourite · TOR 73%
Upcoming
24 OctWAS @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 70%
Upcoming
26 OctWAS @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 74%
Upcoming
28 OctWAS @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 84%
Upcoming
30 OctCHA @ WAS
Favourite · CHA 62%
Upcoming
2 NovWAS @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 76%
Upcoming
4 NovATL @ WAS
Favourite · ATL 59%
Upcoming
6 NovWAS @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 72%
Upcoming
7 NovWAS @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 90%
Upcoming
9 NovWAS @ DET
Favourite · DET 83%
Upcoming
11 NovWAS @ IND
Favourite · IND 68%
Upcoming
12 NovDET @ WAS
Favourite · DET 74%
Upcoming
15 NovHOU @ WAS
Favourite · HOU 75%
Upcoming
16 NovMEM @ WAS
Favourite · WAS 55%
Upcoming
18 NovWAS @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 83%
Upcoming
20 NovWAS @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 70%
Upcoming
22 NovORL @ WAS
Favourite · ORL 64%
Upcoming
24 NovBOS @ WAS
Favourite · BOS 70%
Upcoming
28 NovORL @ WAS
Favourite · ORL 64%
Upcoming
30 NovWAS @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 74%
Upcoming
3 DecWAS @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 72%
Upcoming
12 DecCHA @ WAS
Favourite · CHA 62%
Upcoming
14 DecWAS @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 81%
Upcoming
16 DecWAS @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 81%
Upcoming
18 DecNYK @ WAS
Favourite · NYK 66%
Upcoming
20 DecWAS @ BKN
Favourite · BKN 60%
Upcoming
22 DecTOR @ WAS
Favourite · TOR 73%
Upcoming
23 DecCLE @ WAS
Favourite · CLE 75%
Upcoming
26 DecPOR @ WAS
Favourite · POR 62%
Upcoming
27 DecWAS @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 84%
Upcoming
30 DecWAS @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 83%
Upcoming
1 JanSAS @ WAS
Favourite · SAS 77%
Upcoming
3 JanLAC @ WAS
Favourite · LAC 52%
Upcoming
5 JanLAL @ WAS
Favourite · LAL 73%
Upcoming
7 JanOKC @ WAS
Favourite · OKC 84%
Upcoming
8 JanMIN @ WAS
Favourite · MIN 68%
Upcoming
11 JanATL @ WAS
Favourite · ATL 59%
Upcoming
12 JanWAS @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 78%
Upcoming
15 JanWAS @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 85%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.