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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

UpdatedAs of 24 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

19 DecLAL @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 63%
Upcoming
20 DecWAS @ BKN
Favourite · BKN 60%
Upcoming
20 DecHOU @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 55%
Upcoming
20 DecPHX @ MEM
Favourite · PHX 58%
Upcoming
20 DecUTA @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 79%
Upcoming
20 DecSAC @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 71%
Upcoming
20 DecOKC @ ATL
Favourite · OKC 72%
Upcoming
20 DecSAS @ NOP
Favourite · SAS 66%
Upcoming
20 DecDET @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 53%
Upcoming
20 DecGSW @ MIL
Favourite · GSW 54%
Upcoming
20 DecIND @ LAC
Favourite · LAC 54%
Upcoming
21 DecPHI @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 51%
Upcoming
21 DecNYK @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 67%
Upcoming
21 DecSAC @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 77%
Upcoming
21 DecPOR @ BKN
Favourite · POR 59%
Upcoming
21 DecCHI @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 57%
Upcoming
21 DecPHX @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 65%
Upcoming
21 DecMEM @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 67%
Upcoming
21 DecMIL @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 79%
Upcoming
21 DecIND @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 75%
Upcoming
21 DecDEN @ LAC
Favourite · DEN 71%
Upcoming
22 DecTOR @ WAS
Favourite · TOR 73%
Upcoming
22 DecDET @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 71%
Upcoming
22 DecDAL @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 69%
Upcoming
23 DecDET @ ATL
Favourite · DET 58%
Upcoming
23 DecCHA @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 61%
Upcoming
23 DecCLE @ WAS
Favourite · CLE 75%
Upcoming
23 DecPOR @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 65%
Upcoming
23 DecSAS @ BKN
Favourite · SAS 74%
Upcoming
23 DecCHI @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 57%
Upcoming
23 DecUTA @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 71%
Upcoming
23 DecHOU @ PHI
Favourite · HOU 54%
Upcoming
23 DecTOR @ MEM
Favourite · TOR 71%
Upcoming
23 DecMIN @ MIL
Favourite · MIN 58%
Upcoming
23 DecOKC @ NOP
Favourite · OKC 75%
Upcoming
23 DecIND @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 62%
Upcoming
23 DecDEN @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 51%
Upcoming
23 DecDAL @ SAC
Favourite · DAL 53%
Upcoming
23 DecGSW @ LAC
Favourite · GSW 56%
Upcoming
25 DecSAS @ NYK
Favourite · SAS 56%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.