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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

1 JanSAS @ WAS
Favourite · SAS 77%
Upcoming
1 JanORL @ DET
Favourite · DET 67%
Upcoming
1 JanLAC @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 78%
Upcoming
1 JanPHI @ MIL
Favourite · PHI 56%
Upcoming
1 JanDAL @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 79%
Upcoming
1 JanBOS @ UTA
Favourite · BOS 63%
Upcoming
2 JanCLE @ CHA
Favourite · CLE 58%
Upcoming
2 JanNYK @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 70%
Upcoming
2 JanMIN @ IND
Favourite · MIN 57%
Upcoming
2 JanMIA @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 54%
Upcoming
2 JanDAL @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 64%
Upcoming
2 JanLAL @ CHI
Favourite · LAL 61%
Upcoming
2 JanUTA @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 87%
Upcoming
2 JanBKN @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 74%
Upcoming
2 JanSAC @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 74%
Upcoming
2 JanBOS @ POR
Favourite · BOS 51%
Upcoming
3 JanDET @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 63%
Upcoming
3 JanCHA @ MIL
Favourite · CHA 51%
Upcoming
3 JanMEM @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 74%
Upcoming
3 JanLAL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 58%
Upcoming
3 JanLAC @ WAS
Favourite · LAC 52%
Upcoming
3 JanCLE @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 58%
Upcoming
3 JanSAS @ MIN
Favourite · SAS 54%
Upcoming
3 JanSAC @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 90%
Upcoming
4 JanCHI @ IND
Favourite · IND 55%
Upcoming
4 JanATL @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 64%
Upcoming
4 JanDAL @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 61%
Upcoming
4 JanBOS @ PHX
Favourite · BOS 54%
Upcoming
4 JanBKN @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 61%
Upcoming
4 JanNYK @ POR
Favourite · POR 53%
Upcoming
5 JanATL @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 60%
Upcoming
5 JanTOR @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 59%
Upcoming
5 JanLAC @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 69%
Upcoming
5 JanLAL @ WAS
Favourite · LAL 73%
Upcoming
5 JanMEM @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 70%
Upcoming
5 JanMIL @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 60%
Upcoming
5 JanMIN @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 66%
Upcoming
5 JanPHX @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 75%
Upcoming
5 JanDET @ SAC
Favourite · DET 74%
Upcoming
6 JanUTA @ BKN
Favourite · BKN 53%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.