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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

11 JanHOU @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 50%
Upcoming
11 JanDEN @ NYK
Favourite · DEN 57%
Upcoming
11 JanCLE @ MIN
Favourite · CLE 51%
Upcoming
11 JanLAL @ LAC
Favourite · LAL 66%
Upcoming
12 JanBKN @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 69%
Upcoming
12 JanDET @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 57%
Upcoming
12 JanWAS @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 78%
Upcoming
12 JanDAL @ MEM
Favourite · MEM 51%
Upcoming
12 JanDEN @ MIL
Favourite · DEN 69%
Upcoming
12 JanCHI @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 51%
Upcoming
12 JanORL @ POR
Favourite · POR 55%
Upcoming
12 JanSAC @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 77%
Upcoming
13 JanCLE @ ATL
Favourite · CLE 61%
Upcoming
13 JanNYK @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 61%
Upcoming
13 JanMIL @ IND
Favourite · IND 58%
Upcoming
13 JanPHX @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 71%
Upcoming
13 JanHOU @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 69%
Upcoming
13 JanCHA @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 60%
Upcoming
13 JanLAL @ POR
Favourite · LAL 55%
Upcoming
14 JanNOP @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 77%
Upcoming
14 JanDAL @ DET
Favourite · DET 78%
Upcoming
14 JanBKN @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 75%
Upcoming
14 JanMIA @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 65%
Upcoming
14 JanMIN @ CHI
Favourite · MIN 55%
Upcoming
14 JanMEM @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 85%
Upcoming
14 JanCHA @ UTA
Favourite · CHA 55%
Upcoming
14 JanORL @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 67%
Upcoming
14 JanLAC @ SAC
Favourite · LAC 53%
Upcoming
15 JanGSW @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 52%
Upcoming
15 JanPHX @ IND
Favourite · IND 52%
Upcoming
15 JanMIA @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 72%
Upcoming
15 JanCLE @ MIL
Favourite · CLE 66%
Upcoming
15 JanUTA @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 87%
Upcoming
15 JanWAS @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 85%
Upcoming
15 JanSAC @ POR
Favourite · POR 75%
Upcoming
15 JanORL @ LAC
Favourite · ORL 56%
Upcoming
16 JanMIN @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 55%
Upcoming
16 JanBKN @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 78%
Upcoming
16 JanDAL @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 71%
Upcoming
16 JanCLE @ MEM
Favourite · CLE 73%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.