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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

16 JanDET @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 60%
Upcoming
16 JanCHA @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 74%
Upcoming
17 JanSAS @ NOP
Favourite · SAS 66%
Upcoming
17 JanIND @ WAS
Favourite · IND 55%
Upcoming
17 JanTOR @ CHI
Favourite · TOR 61%
Upcoming
17 JanPOR @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 81%
Upcoming
17 JanSAC @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 65%
Upcoming
17 JanGSW @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 51%
Upcoming
17 JanORL @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 72%
Upcoming
17 JanMIL @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 76%
Upcoming
18 JanDET @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 59%
Upcoming
18 JanPHI @ ATL
Favourite · PHI 50%
Upcoming
18 JanBOS @ WAS
Favourite · BOS 70%
Upcoming
18 JanMIN @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 55%
Upcoming
18 JanHOU @ MEM
Favourite · HOU 73%
Upcoming
18 JanOKC @ DAL
Favourite · OKC 78%
Upcoming
18 JanPHX @ LAC
Favourite · PHX 51%
Upcoming
19 JanGSW @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 57%
Upcoming
19 JanIND @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 68%
Upcoming
19 JanCHI @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 74%
Upcoming
19 JanPOR @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 54%
Upcoming
19 JanCHA @ DAL
Favourite · CHA 53%
Upcoming
19 JanUTA @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 82%
Upcoming
19 JanLAL @ SAC
Favourite · LAL 74%
Upcoming
20 JanPOR @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 54%
Upcoming
20 JanCHI @ BKN
Favourite · CHI 53%
Upcoming
20 JanIND @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 72%
Upcoming
20 JanTOR @ NYK
Favourite · TOR 51%
Upcoming
20 JanHOU @ MIN
Favourite · HOU 52%
Upcoming
20 JanOKC @ NOP
Favourite · OKC 75%
Upcoming
20 JanMEM @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 71%
Upcoming
20 JanLAC @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 56%
Upcoming
20 JanMIA @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 75%
Upcoming
20 JanMIL @ SAC
Favourite · MIL 54%
Upcoming
21 JanPHI @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 61%
Upcoming
21 JanCLE @ BKN
Favourite · CLE 72%
Upcoming
21 JanWAS @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 86%
Upcoming
21 JanLAL @ GSW
Favourite · LAL 53%
Upcoming
22 JanNYK @ ATL
Favourite · NYK 51%
Upcoming
22 JanHOU @ CHA
Favourite · HOU 59%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.