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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

1 MarPHI @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 67%
Upcoming
1 MarCHI @ DET
Favourite · DET 74%
Upcoming
1 MarUTA @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 63%
Upcoming
1 MarGSW @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 70%
Upcoming
1 MarBKN @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 84%
Upcoming
1 MarWAS @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 73%
Upcoming
2 MarBOS @ IND
Favourite · BOS 59%
Upcoming
2 MarLAL @ ORL
Favourite · LAL 53%
Upcoming
2 MarTOR @ MIA
Favourite · TOR 59%
Upcoming
2 MarMEM @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 76%
Upcoming
2 MarGSW @ DAL
Favourite · GSW 56%
Upcoming
2 MarDET @ MIL
Favourite · DET 64%
Upcoming
2 MarMIN @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 76%
Upcoming
2 MarWAS @ SAC
Favourite · SAC 56%
Upcoming
2 MarLAC @ POR
Favourite · POR 67%
Upcoming
3 MarCHI @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 59%
Upcoming
3 MarCHA @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 62%
Upcoming
3 MarTOR @ MIA
Favourite · TOR 59%
Upcoming
3 MarUTA @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 60%
Upcoming
3 MarNOP @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 76%
Upcoming
3 MarBKN @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 70%
Upcoming
3 MarSAS @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 59%
Upcoming
4 MarPOR @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 71%
Upcoming
4 MarIND @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 67%
Upcoming
4 MarLAL @ PHI
Favourite · LAL 51%
Upcoming
4 MarMEM @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 70%
Upcoming
4 MarNYK @ DAL
Favourite · NYK 58%
Upcoming
4 MarWAS @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 76%
Upcoming
4 MarOKC @ SAC
Favourite · OKC 84%
Upcoming
4 MarBKN @ LAC
Favourite · LAC 62%
Upcoming
5 MarBOS @ DET
Favourite · DET 61%
Upcoming
5 MarUTA @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 71%
Upcoming
5 MarPOR @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 69%
Upcoming
5 MarMIL @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 60%
Upcoming
5 MarMIN @ PHX
Favourite · MIN 51%
Upcoming
5 MarSAS @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 56%
Upcoming
6 MarIND @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 61%
Upcoming
6 MarCHA @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 52%
Upcoming
6 MarATL @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 73%
Upcoming
6 MarUTA @ WAS
Favourite · UTA 50%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.