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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

6 MarNOP @ MEM
Favourite · NOP 53%
Upcoming
6 MarOKC @ LAL
Favourite · OKC 59%
Upcoming
6 MarLAC @ SAC
Favourite · LAC 53%
Upcoming
7 MarPHI @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 61%
Upcoming
7 MarMIN @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 69%
Upcoming
7 MarPOR @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 51%
Upcoming
7 MarNYK @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 69%
Upcoming
7 MarHOU @ GSW
Favourite · HOU 56%
Upcoming
7 MarBKN @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 81%
Upcoming
8 MarCHA @ IND
Favourite · CHA 50%
Upcoming
8 MarUTA @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 72%
Upcoming
8 MarPHX @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 56%
Upcoming
8 MarATL @ MEM
Favourite · ATL 56%
Upcoming
8 MarNOP @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 69%
Upcoming
8 MarDAL @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 86%
Upcoming
8 MarDEN @ SAC
Favourite · DEN 78%
Upcoming
8 MarHOU @ LAC
Favourite · HOU 68%
Upcoming
9 MarPHX @ ORL
Favourite · ORL 62%
Upcoming
9 MarMIL @ BKN
Favourite · MIL 50%
Upcoming
9 MarCLE @ DET
Favourite · DET 56%
Upcoming
9 MarBOS @ CHI
Favourite · BOS 57%
Upcoming
9 MarMEM @ DAL
Favourite · DAL 63%
Upcoming
9 MarWAS @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 85%
Upcoming
9 MarPOR @ GSW
Favourite · GSW 59%
Upcoming
10 MarNOP @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 63%
Upcoming
10 MarORL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 51%
Upcoming
10 MarOKC @ TOR
Favourite · OKC 58%
Upcoming
10 MarHOU @ UTA
Favourite · HOU 70%
Upcoming
10 MarATL @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 66%
Upcoming
10 MarDEN @ POR
Favourite · DEN 61%
Upcoming
10 MarGSW @ SAC
Favourite · GSW 65%
Upcoming
10 MarNYK @ LAC
Favourite · NYK 58%
Upcoming
11 MarIND @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 64%
Upcoming
11 MarMIL @ DET
Favourite · DET 76%
Upcoming
11 MarMEM @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 79%
Upcoming
11 MarPHI @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 69%
Upcoming
11 MarBKN @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 69%
Upcoming
11 MarPHX @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 54%
Upcoming
11 MarWAS @ DAL
Favourite · DAL 66%
Upcoming
11 MarNYK @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 65%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.