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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

UpdatedAs of 24 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

11 MarCLE @ LAC
Favourite · CLE 68%
Upcoming
12 MarOKC @ BOS
Favourite · OKC 62%
Upcoming
12 MarMIA @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 54%
Upcoming
12 MarTOR @ NOP
Favourite · TOR 62%
Upcoming
12 MarSAC @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 66%
Upcoming
12 MarGSW @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 72%
Upcoming
12 MarCLE @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 55%
Upcoming
13 MarORL @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 52%
Upcoming
13 MarBKN @ DET
Favourite · DET 81%
Upcoming
13 MarIND @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 77%
Upcoming
13 MarPHX @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 58%
Upcoming
13 MarMEM @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 68%
Upcoming
13 MarNOP @ DAL
Favourite · DAL 53%
Upcoming
13 MarPHI @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 59%
Upcoming
13 MarLAC @ POR
Favourite · POR 67%
Upcoming
14 MarBOS @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 53%
Upcoming
14 MarSAS @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 68%
Upcoming
14 MarDET @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 57%
Upcoming
14 MarCLE @ SAC
Favourite · CLE 75%
Upcoming
14 MarMIA @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 78%
Upcoming
14 MarWAS @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 79%
Upcoming
14 MarGSW @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 67%
Upcoming
15 MarTOR @ PHI
Favourite · TOR 52%
Upcoming
15 MarIND @ BKN
Favourite · IND 51%
Upcoming
15 MarORL @ CHI
Favourite · ORL 51%
Upcoming
15 MarPHX @ MEM
Favourite · PHX 58%
Upcoming
15 MarATL @ DAL
Favourite · ATL 51%
Upcoming
16 MarNYK @ WAS
Favourite · NYK 66%
Upcoming
16 MarSAC @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 81%
Upcoming
16 MarDET @ IND
Favourite · DET 63%
Upcoming
16 MarORL @ MIL
Favourite · ORL 54%
Upcoming
16 MarMIN @ NOP
Favourite · MIN 56%
Upcoming
16 MarCHA @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 82%
Upcoming
16 MarSAS @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 56%
Upcoming
16 MarCLE @ GSW
Favourite · CLE 55%
Upcoming
16 MarLAL @ POR
Favourite · LAL 55%
Upcoming
16 MarDEN @ LAC
Favourite · DEN 71%
Upcoming
17 MarCHI @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 66%
Upcoming
17 MarSAC @ NYK
Favourite · NYK 78%
Upcoming
17 MarDAL @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 86%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.