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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

Data not up to dateAs of 20 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

25 OctLAC @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 86%
Upcoming
25 OctDET @ PHI
Favourite · DET 52%
Upcoming
25 OctMEM @ SAC
Favourite · SAC 54%
Upcoming
26 OctWAS @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 74%
Upcoming
26 OctMIN @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 65%
Upcoming
26 OctCHI @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 70%
Upcoming
26 OctDAL @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 64%
Upcoming
26 OctIND @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 56%
Upcoming
26 OctPHX @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 82%
Upcoming
26 OctATL @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 74%
Upcoming
26 OctMEM @ UTA
Favourite · UTA 62%
Upcoming
26 OctGSW @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 72%
Upcoming
27 OctBKN @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 78%
Upcoming
27 OctDET @ NYK
Favourite · DET 51%
Upcoming
27 OctSAC @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 86%
Upcoming
27 OctPOR @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 69%
Upcoming
28 OctMIA @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 57%
Upcoming
28 OctWAS @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 84%
Upcoming
28 OctCHA @ DET
Favourite · DET 70%
Upcoming
28 OctPHI @ IND
Favourite · PHI 55%
Upcoming
28 OctORL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 67%
Upcoming
28 OctNYK @ CHI
Favourite · NYK 53%
Upcoming
28 OctHOU @ MIL
Favourite · HOU 67%
Upcoming
28 OctGSW @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 61%
Upcoming
28 OctDEN @ NOP
Favourite · DEN 67%
Upcoming
28 OctSAS @ UTA
Favourite · SAS 71%
Upcoming
28 OctOKC @ DAL
Favourite · OKC 78%
Upcoming
28 OctLAL @ LAC
Favourite · LAL 66%
Upcoming
29 OctCLE @ ATL
Favourite · CLE 61%
Upcoming
29 OctSAC @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 70%
Upcoming
29 OctMEM @ POR
Favourite · POR 73%
Upcoming
30 OctCHA @ WAS
Favourite · CHA 62%
Upcoming
30 OctCHI @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 70%
Upcoming
30 OctDET @ BKN
Favourite · DET 71%
Upcoming
30 OctNYK @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 57%
Upcoming
30 OctORL @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 67%
Upcoming
30 OctIND @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 61%
Upcoming
30 OctHOU @ DAL
Favourite · HOU 68%
Upcoming
30 OctLAC @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 73%
Upcoming
30 OctLAL @ GSW
Favourite · LAL 53%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.