Orlando Magic – Indiana Pacers · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 23 November 2019

ORL106–111IND

Is it worth watching?

Recommended

It was more exciting than 68% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 20 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when ORL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Domantas Sabonis decided it, the Indiana Pacers player with the most points (25, with 9 rebounds and 4 assists; -2 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Doug McDermott's (+20). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Indiana Pacers 111-106 Orlando Magic (November 23, 2019) was hit by Aaron Holiday: a three-pointer with 8.7 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Indiana Pacers up 109-106. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Indiana Pacers 111-106 Orlando Magic (November 23, 2019) was a 9-0 run by the Indiana Pacers between the first quarter and the second quarter, from 19-25 to 28-25. The Orlando Magic' best was a 7-0 run in the third quarter (from 3:12 to 1:59), from 74-76 to 81-76.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Aaron Holiday makes 26-foot three point jumper (Justin Holiday assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Aaron Holiday decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 8.7 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Holiday decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

23 November 2019 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401160869:600; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ORL

Fournier · Isaac · Birch · Ross · Augustin

Closing lineup · IND

Sabonis · Turner · Warren · Holiday · Holiday

Q1Q2Q3Q4

ORL

Evan Fournier

34′ · -22

Markelle Fultz

29′ · +8

Jonathan Isaac

29′ · +4

Wes Iwundu

27′ · +19

Khem Birch

27′ · +3

Mo Bamba

21′ · -8

Terrence Ross

28′ · -10

Al-Farouq Aminu

20′ · -9

D.J. Augustin

25′ · -10

IND

Domantas Sabonis

35′ · -2

Myles Turner

30′ · -15

Jeremy Lamb

28′ · -8

T.J. Warren

28′ · -16

Aaron Holiday

26′ · -9

Justin Holiday

25′ · +16

T.J. McConnell

23′ · +10

Doug McDermott

22′ · +20

Goga Bitadze

15′ · +15

T.J. Leaf

7′ · +14

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ORL and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Orlando Magic

Bamba, Augustin, Aminu, Ross, and Fournier played 12.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 23 points.
Fultz, Isaac, Iwundu, Fournier, and Birch played 11.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Fultz, Isaac, Iwundu, Augustin, and Birch played 6.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Indiana Pacers

Turner, Sabonis, Holiday, Lamb, and Warren played 19.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Leaf, Bitadze, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 6.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.
Sabonis, Bitadze, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Orlando Magic

Fultz, Isaac, Ross, Fournier, and Birch played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Iwundu, Bamba, Augustin, Aminu, and Ross played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Fultz, Isaac, Bamba, Ross, and Fournier played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Fultz, Isaac, Iwundu, Bamba, and Fournier played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Iwundu, Augustin, Aminu, Ross, and Birch played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Isaac, Augustin, Ross, Fournier, and Birch played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Fultz, Iwundu, Bamba, Aminu, and Ross played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Fultz, Isaac, Iwundu, Aminu, and Birch played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Indiana Pacers

Sabonis, Lamb, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Turner, Sabonis, Holiday, Holiday, and Warren played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Turner, Sabonis, Lamb, McDermott, and McConnell played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Turner, Holiday, McDermott, Warren, and McConnell played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Turner, Holiday, Lamb, Holiday, and Warren played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Bitadze, Holiday, McDermott, Warren, and McConnell played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Sabonis, Holiday, Bitadze, Lamb, and McConnell played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Turner, Sabonis, Holiday, Holiday, and McDermott played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Evan Fournier covered 4.25 km, more than anyone in the game.

Jonathan Isaac made 62 passes, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Orlando Magic

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Evan Fournier	4.25	7.0	55	28
Jonathan Isaac	3.60	7.0	79	62
Markelle Fultz	3.57	7.3	67	51
Terrence Ross	3.38	6.8	27	14
Wes Iwundu	3.36	7.2	14	9
Khem Birch	3.14	6.6	25	18
D.J. Augustin	3.06	6.5	55	40
Mo Bamba	2.49	6.6	25	14
Al-Farouq Aminu	2.46	7.0	40	31

Indiana Pacers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Domantas Sabonis	4.04	6.5	79	53
Myles Turner	3.46	6.5	37	25
Jeremy Lamb	3.43	6.9	35	20
T.J. Warren	3.31	6.7	27	21
Justin Holiday	3.25	7.3	33

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2019-20 regular season, not this game.

Orlando Magic

Jonathan Isaac deflected 3.3 passes per game over his 34 games.
He ranks 10 of 352 in the league.
Khem Birch drew 0.11 charges per game over his 47 games.
He ranks 54 of 352 in the league.
Markelle Fultz deflected 2.2 passes per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 57 of 352 in the league.

Indiana Pacers

T.J. Warren deflected 2.9 passes per game over his 67 games.
He ranks 19 of 352 in the league.
Domantas Sabonis contested 11.3 shots per game over his 62 games.
He ranks 19 of 352 in the league.
Myles Turner contested 11.1 shots per game over his 62 games.
He ranks 21 of 352 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Indiana Pacers have won 84 of their 148 games against the Orlando Magic.

84-64record of the Indiana Pacers · NBA 1989-90 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1989-90 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

16.446

91.8% of capacity

Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis

Scoring

217

combined points

6.6 below the season average (223.6)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: 5 Second Violation · 00:03.5

Jonathan Isaac → Pacers

Isaac (ORL) fails to inbound the ball within five seconds.

Foul: Offensive · 00:58.3

Markelle Fultz → T.J. Warren

Fultz (ORL) sets the pick on Warren (IND) and delivers contact, affecting his ability to defend.