SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 21 March 2021

PHI101–100NYK
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 22 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NYK winsPHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NYK leads and falls when PHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHI

Ben Simmons
Tobias Harris
Danny Green
Shake Milton
Matisse Thybulle

Simmons · Harris · Green · Milton · Thybulle

Closing lineup · NYK

Reggie Bullock Jr.
Julius Randle
RJ Barrett
Nerlens Noel
Alec Burks

Bullock · Randle · Barrett · Noel · Burks

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
PHI
Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons

37′ · -3

Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris

36′ · 0

Danny Green

Danny Green

33′ · -2

Furkan Korkmaz

Furkan Korkmaz

28′ · -2

Tony Bradley

Tony Bradley

19′ · +1

Dwight Howard

Dwight Howard

32′ · -2

Mike Scott

Mike Scott

16′ · +1

Shake Milton

Shake Milton

29′ · +5

Matisse Thybulle

Matisse Thybulle

18′ · +3

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

15′ · +4

NYK
Reggie Bullock Jr.

Reggie Bullock Jr.

47′ · +1

Julius Randle

Julius Randle

46′ · +6

RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett

39′ · +5

Nerlens Noel

Nerlens Noel

36′ · -1

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley

26′ · +2

Frank Ntilikina

Frank Ntilikina

18′ · -2

Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson

17′ · -3

Alec Burks

Alec Burks

30′ · -6

Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin

7′ · -7

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHI and NYK.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Bradley, Green, and Harris played 15.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, Scott, and Howard played 10.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Green, Harris, and Howard played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

New York Knicks

  • Barrett, Quickley, Noel, Bullock, and Randle played 19.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Barrett, Burks, Noel, Bullock, and Randle played 9.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Ntilikina, Robinson, Burks, Bullock, and Randle played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, and Howard played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Simmons, Milton, Green, Harris, and Howard played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Bradley, Milton, and Green played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Milton, Thybulle, Harris, and Howard played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Milton, Scott, and Howard played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Green, Scott, and Howard played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

New York Knicks

  • Ntilikina, Robinson, Toppin, Burks, and Bullock played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Barrett, Quickley, Burks, Noel, and Randle played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ntilikina, Robinson, Barrett, Burks, and Randle played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Ntilikina, Burks, Noel, Bullock, and Randle played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Ntilikina, Robinson, Barrett, Bullock, and Randle played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Robinson, Toppin, Quickley, Burks, and Bullock played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Ntilikina, Barrett, Noel, Bullock, and Randle played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
1981
10% of capacity
Madison Square Garden · New York
Scoring
201
combined points
23.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

51 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:16.2
Julius Randle → Dwight Howard
Randle (NYK) extends his arm and makes contact to Howard's (PHI) head during the shot attempt.
Turnover: 3 Second Violation · 00:23.6
Dwight Howard → Knicks
Howard (PHI) is in the lane for longer than three seconds.