Win probability changed during the game. · 31 December 2021
The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
The last point of this curve falls on IND's side, but CHI won 108-106. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when CHI does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHI
LaVine · DeRozan · Vucevic · White · Dosunmu
Closing lineup · IND
Sabonis · LeVert · Holiday · Craig · Brissett
Zach LaVine
36′ · -8
DeMar DeRozan
35′ · +18
Nikola Vucevic
34′ · -1
Coby White
33′ · +1
Javonte Green
28′ · +3
Ayo Dosunmu
22′ · -8
Matt Thomas
20′ · +8
Derrick Jones Jr.
14′ · -3
Tyler Cook
14′ · +3
Troy Brown Jr.
4′ · -3
Domantas Sabonis
40′ · +1
Caris LeVert
37′ · +1
Justin Holiday
35′ · -6
Duane Washington Jr.
30′ · 0
Myles Turner
18′ · -9
Torrey Craig
32′ · -1
Oshae Brissett
31′ · +4
Keifer Sykes
11′ · -3
Nate Hinton
2′ · +2
Goga Bitadze
5′ · +1
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and IND.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Chicago Bulls
White, Green, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 19.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Jones, Cook, Thomas, Dosunmu, and DeRozan played 6.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Thomas, Green, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Indiana Pacers
Turner, Sabonis, LeVert, Washington, and Holiday played 9.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Sabonis, LeVert, Craig, Brissett, and Holiday played 9.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Sabonis, LeVert, Craig, Brissett, and Washington played 9.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
Chicago Bulls
Jones, Cook, White, Thomas, and DeRozan played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
White, Green, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Jones, Thomas, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Brown, Cook, White, Thomas, and DeRozan played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Jones, Cook, White, DeRozan, and LaVine played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Jones, White, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
White, Thomas, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Indiana Pacers
Turner, Sykes, Craig, Brissett, and Holiday played 4.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Sabonis, LeVert, Bitadze, Washington, and Holiday played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Sykes, Sabonis, Craig, Brissett, and Holiday played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Sykes, Sabonis, Craig, Brissett, and Washington played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Sabonis, LeVert, Brissett, Washington, and Holiday played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Turner, Sykes, Brissett, Washington, and Holiday played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Turner, Sykes, Craig, Washington, and Holiday played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Turner, LeVert, Craig, Brissett, and Holiday played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

