SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 25 January 2022

MIN109–107POR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 90% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 26 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ POR winsMIN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when MIN does.

Game context

Attendance
16.422
84.6% of capacity
Moda Center · Portland
Scoring
216
combined points
5.2 below the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

13 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:24.9
Jarred Vanderbilt → Robert Covington
Vanderbilt (MIN) makes contact with Covington's (POR) arm that affects his shot near the rim.