Win probability changed during the game. · 25 January 2022
It was more exciting than 90% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 26 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when MIN does.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

