SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 13 January 2023

ATL113–111IND
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 22 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsATL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when ATL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ATL

Onyeka Okongwu
Dejounte Murray
De'Andre Hunter
John Collins
Jalen Johnson

Okongwu · Murray · Hunter · Collins · Johnson

Closing lineup · IND

Buddy Hield
Andrew Nembhard
Isaiah Jackson
Jalen Smith
Oshae Brissett

Hield · Nembhard · Jackson · Smith · Brissett

Q1Q2Q3Q4
ATL
Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu

39′ · +19

Trae Young

Trae Young

37′ · +20

Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

36′ · +7

De'Andre Hunter

De'Andre Hunter

34′ · +8

John Collins

John Collins

27′ · -2

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic

27′ · -12

Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson

14′ · -9

Aaron Holiday

Aaron Holiday

11′ · -4

AJ Griffin

AJ Griffin

14′ · -17

IND
Bennedict Mathurin

Bennedict Mathurin

39′ · +13

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

38′ · -7

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

34′ · 0

Isaiah Jackson

Isaiah Jackson

28′ · -17

Chris Duarte

Chris Duarte

26′ · -24

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

24′ · +5

Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith

20′ · +17

Oshae Brissett

Oshae Brissett

31′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ATL and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Murray, Collins, Young, Hunter, and Okongwu played 16.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 20 points.

  • Murray, Young, Hunter, Okongwu, and Bogdanovic played 7.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Murray, Collins, Johnson, Griffin, and Bogdanovic played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Hield, Nembhard, Duarte, Jackson, and Mathurin played 12.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 14 points.

  • Hield, Brissett, Duarte, Jackson, and McConnell played 7.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Brissett, Nembhard, Smith, Mathurin, and McConnell played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Atlanta Hawks

  • Holiday, Young, Okongwu, Johnson, and Bogdanovic played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Holiday, Young, Hunter, Okongwu, and Griffin played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Murray, Okongwu, Johnson, Griffin, and Bogdanovic played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Collins, Holiday, Young, Johnson, and Bogdanovic played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Murray, Collins, Hunter, Griffin, and Bogdanovic played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Murray, Collins, Hunter, Okongwu, and Bogdanovic played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Holiday, Young, Hunter, Okongwu, and Bogdanovic played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Murray, Young, Hunter, Okongwu, and Griffin played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Hield, Brissett, Nembhard, Jackson, and Mathurin played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hield, Nembhard, Smith, Mathurin, and McConnell played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Hield, Brissett, Nembhard, Smith, and Mathurin played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brissett, Nembhard, Smith, Duarte, and Mathurin played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brissett, Smith, Duarte, Mathurin, and McConnell played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hield, Brissett, Jackson, Mathurin, and McConnell played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hield, Brissett, Smith, Mathurin, and McConnell played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Hield, Brissett, Smith, Duarte, and McConnell played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
16.071
89.7% of capacity
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
Scoring
224
combined points
5.4 below the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 01:42
De'Andre Hunter → Bennedict Mathurin
Hunter (ATL) swipes down and makes contact with Mathurin's (IND) right wrist as he pulls it away from the ball, which affects his ability to gather.