Portland Trail Blazers – Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 23 January 2024

POR109–111OKC

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 84% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 46 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ OKC winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when OKC leads and falls when POR does.

This is how the game was decided.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander decided it, the Oklahoma City Thunder player with the most points (33, with 6 rebounds and 10 assists; +17 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Oklahoma City Thunder 111-109 Portland Trail Blazers (January 23, 2024) was hit by Jalen Williams: a jump shot with 2.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Oklahoma City Thunder up 111-109. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Oklahoma City Thunder 111-109 Portland Trail Blazers (January 23, 2024) was a 12-0 run by the Oklahoma City Thunder in the first quarter (from 9:51 to 7:45), from 6-7 to 18-7. The Portland Trail Blazers' best was a 9-0 run between the first quarter and the second quarter, from 25-38 to 34-38.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Jalen Williams makes 18-foot pullup jump shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Jalen Williams decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 2.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Williams decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

23 January 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401585245:696; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · POR

Brogdon · Walker · Simons · Grant · Ayton

Closing lineup · OKC

Gilgeous-Alexander · Williams · Holmgren · Dort · Joe

Q1Q2Q3Q4

POR

Malcolm Brogdon

35′ · -8

Jabari Walker

34′ · -7

Anfernee Simons

33′ · -15

Jerami Grant

30′ · -8

Deandre Ayton

27′ · -9

Scoot Henderson

26′ · +17

Duop Reath

21′ · +7

Toumani Camara

14′ · +5

Matisse Thybulle

20′ · +8

OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

35′ · +17

Jalen Williams

32′ · +8

Chet Holmgren

32′ · +8

Josh Giddey

25′ · -2

Luguentz Dort

24′ · +15

Cason Wallace

12′ · -4

Jaylin Williams

15′ · 0

Isaiah Joe

20′ · +3

Aaron Wiggins

17′ · -2

Kenrich Williams

13′ · -18

Vasilije Micic

7′ · -8

Keyontae Johnson

5′ · -4

Davis Bertans

3′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and OKC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

Brogdon, Simons, Ayton, Walker, and Grant played 15.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 17 points.
Brogdon, Thybulle, Henderson, Walker, and Reath played 13.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Simons, Ayton, Henderson, Walker, and Grant played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Giddey, Holmgren, and Williams played 15.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Joe, Wiggins, Williams, and Wallace played 6.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Williams, Giddey, Wiggins, Holmgren, and Williams played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Portland Trail Blazers

Simons, Ayton, Henderson, Camara, and Grant played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Brogdon, Simons, Thybulle, Camara, and Reath played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Brogdon, Simons, Ayton, Camara, and Grant played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Simons, Henderson, Camara, Reath, and Grant played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Simons, Ayton, Thybulle, Camara, and Grant played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Brogdon, Thybulle, Henderson, Camara, and Reath played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Williams, Wiggins, Holmgren, Williams, and Micic played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Holmgren, Williams, Wallace, and Micic played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Joe, Williams, Johnson, and Bertans played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Joe, Holmgren, and Williams played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Joe, Williams, and Johnson played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Dort, Joe, Giddey, Wiggins, and Williams played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Williams, Joe, Holmgren, and Williams played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Joe, Giddey, Williams, and Wallace played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jabari Walker covered 4.14 km, more than anyone in the game.

Malcolm Brogdon touched the ball 85 times, a game high.
Malcolm Brogdon made 64 passes, a game high.
Chet Holmgren defended 10 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 4.
Jabari Walker had 20 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Portland Trail Blazers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jabari Walker	4.14	6.9	35	19
Anfernee Simons	4.05	6.8	76	56
Malcolm Brogdon	4.04	6.5	85	64
Jerami Grant	3.59	6.7	43	28
Scoot Henderson	3.23	7.0	64	43
Deandre Ayton	3.14	6.5	39	27
Matisse Thybulle	2.56	7.3	29	23
Duop Reath	2.54	7.0	35	27
Toumani Camara	2.06	7.9	18	12

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4.12	6.5	79	44
Jalen Williams	4.01	7.0	68	47
Chet Holmgren	3.59	6.3	47	38
Josh Giddey	3.07	7.1	44	37
Luguentz Dort	2.75	6.6	21

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2023-24 regular season, not this game.

Portland Trail Blazers

Matisse Thybulle deflected 3.4 passes per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 4 of 373 in the league.
Toumani Camara drew 0.19 charges per game over his 69 games.
He ranks 12 of 373 in the league.
Deandre Ayton contested 8.7 shots per game over his 55 games.
He ranks 20 of 373 in the league.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander deflected 3.5 passes per game over his 75 games.
He ranks 3 of 373 in the league.
Chet Holmgren contested 11.6 shots per game over his 82 games.
He ranks 4 of 373 in the league.
Jaylin Williams drew 0.28 charges per game over his 69 games.
He ranks 6 of 373 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 45 of their 76 games against the Portland Trail Blazers.

45-31record of the Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA 2008-09 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

3-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2008-09 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

15.874

87.2% of capacity

Paycom Center · Oklahoma City

Scoring

220

combined points

8.4 below the season average (228.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors