SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 17 November 2024

PHX117–120MIN
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 84% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsPHX wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when PHX does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHX

Devin Booker
Ryan Dunn
Oso Ighodaro
Royce O'Neale
Josh Okogie

Booker · Dunn · Ighodaro · O'Neale · Okogie

Closing lineup · MIN

Anthony Edwards
Julius Randle
Mike Conley
Donte DiVincenzo
Joe Ingles

Edwards · Randle · Conley · DiVincenzo · Ingles

Q1Q2Q3Q4
PHX
Devin Booker

Devin Booker

40′ · +4

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

37′ · -2

Mason Plumlee

Mason Plumlee

29′ · 0

Ryan Dunn

Ryan Dunn

18′ · -11

Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic

14′ · +1

Oso Ighodaro

Oso Ighodaro

26′ · +8

Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen

24′ · -6

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

25′ · -10

Monte Morris

Monte Morris

11′ · +2

Josh Okogie

Josh Okogie

16′ · -1

MIN
Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

39′ · -6

Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert

37′ · +4

Julius Randle

Julius Randle

34′ · +16

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

30′ · +14

Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

26′ · -6

Donte DiVincenzo

Donte DiVincenzo

26′ · +10

Naz Reid

Naz Reid

22′ · -15

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

20′ · 0

Rob Dillingham

Rob Dillingham

6′ · -5

Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles

0′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHX and MIN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Phoenix Suns

  • Jones, Booker, Dunn, Plumlee, and Nurkic played 8.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Morris, Allen, and Ighodaro played 6.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Jones, Booker, Okogie, Ighodaro, and Plumlee played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 13.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Edwards, and Randle played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, Dillingham, and Gobert played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Phoenix Suns

  • Jones, Booker, O'Neale, Allen, and Plumlee played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Jones, Booker, O'Neale, Okogie, and Ighodaro played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, Booker, Allen, Ighodaro, and Plumlee played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • O'Neale, Morris, Allen, Dunn, and Plumlee played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, O'Neale, Allen, Okogie, and Ighodaro played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Booker, Ighodaro, Dunn, and Plumlee played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, Allen, Okogie, Dunn, and Nurkic played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jones, O'Neale, Allen, Dunn, and Nurkic played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Morris, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Edwards, and Gobert played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Edwards, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Conley, and Gobert played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, and Randle played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Reid, Conley, and Randle played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, McDaniels, Gobert, and Randle played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • DiVincenzo, Alexander-Walker, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, and Randle played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • DiVincenzo, McDaniels, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.978
105.3% of capacity
Target Center · Minneapolis
Scoring
237
combined points
9.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 00:02.7
Julius Randle → Suns
Randle (MIN) lifts his pivot foot prior to releasing his dribble.
Foul: Offensive · 00:34.4
Jusuf Nurkic → Jaden McDaniels
Nurkic (PHX) continues moving into McDaniels (MIN) after the initial contact during the screen, delaying him from contesting the jump shot attempt.