Win probability changed during the game. · 22 February 2025
It was more exciting than 73% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when BKN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · BKN
Claxton · Johnson · Johnson · Williams · Watford
Closing lineup · PHI
Maxey · George · Oubre · Grimes · Yabusele
Nic Claxton
36′ · +2
Cameron Johnson
35′ · +2
Keon Johnson
31′ · +3
Ziaire Williams
30′ · +8
Killian Hayes
27′ · +3
Jalen Wilson
22′ · -7
Trendon Watford
24′ · +1
Day'Ron Sharpe
13′ · 0
Tyrese Martin
13′ · +1
Reece Beekman
10′ · -3
Tyrese Maxey
43′ · -1
Paul George
40′ · +3
Kelly Oubre Jr.
38′ · 0
Quentin Grimes
37′ · -6
Joel Embiid
31′ · -7
Lonnie Walker IV
10′ · -7
David Roddy
5′ · -4
Andre Drummond
5′ · 0
Guerschon Yabusele
23′ · +5
Ricky Council IV
9′ · +7
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and PHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Brooklyn Nets
Claxton, Johnson, Hayes, Williams, and Johnson played 17.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Sharpe, Watford, Wilson, Martin, and Beekman played 9.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Claxton, Johnson, Williams, Johnson, and Watford played 8.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Philadelphia 76ers
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, George, and Embiid played 16.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Oubre, Yabusele, Grimes, Maxey, and George played 8.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Oubre, Yabusele, Maxey, Council, and Embiid played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Brooklyn Nets
Claxton, Johnson, Hayes, Williams, and Wilson played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Claxton, Johnson, Hayes, Watford, and Wilson played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Sharpe, Johnson, Watford, Wilson, and Martin played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Claxton, Johnson, Hayes, Johnson, and Wilson played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Philadelphia 76ers
Yabusele, Grimes, Maxey, Council, and George played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Walker, Maxey, Roddy, George, and Embiid played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Yabusele, Grimes, George, and Embiid played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Walker, Grimes, Maxey, Roddy, and Drummond played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Yabusele, Walker, Grimes, George, and Drummond played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Oubre, Yabusele, Grimes, George, and Drummond played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Yabusele, Maxey, George, and Embiid played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Oubre, Walker, Maxey, George, and Embiid played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Oubre, Walker, Grimes, Maxey, and Embiid played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Walker, Grimes, Maxey, George, and Embiid played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

