SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 1 April 2025

MIN140–139DEN
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 43 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DEN winsMIN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DEN leads and falls when MIN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIN

Anthony Edwards
Julius Randle
Jaden McDaniels
Mike Conley
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Edwards · Randle · McDaniels · Conley · Alexander-Walker

Closing lineup · DEN

Nikola Jokic
Christian Braun
Aaron Gordon
Peyton Watson
Russell Westbrook

Jokic · Braun · Gordon · Watson · Westbrook

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT2
MIN
Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

50′ · +8

Julius Randle

Julius Randle

50′ · +1

Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

44′ · -7

Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert

40′ · -10

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

36′ · -22

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

45′ · +14

Jaylen Clark

Jaylen Clark

9′ · +2

Josh Minott

Josh Minott

12′ · +14

Rob Dillingham

Rob Dillingham

4′ · +4

Luka Garza

Luka Garza

0′ · 0

DEN
Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

53′ · +2

Christian Braun

Christian Braun

53′ · +12

Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon

47′ · +16

Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson

45′ · -11

Jalen Pickett

Jalen Pickett

32′ · +4

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

38′ · -5

Zeke Nnaji

Zeke Nnaji

11′ · -17

DeAndre Jordan

DeAndre Jordan

5′ · -3

Hunter Tyson

Hunter Tyson

5′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and DEN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 13.0 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, and Randle played 10.2 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, McDaniels, Gobert, and Randle played 6.7 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Minnesota Timberwolves lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Denver Nuggets

  • Braun, Watson, Westbrook, Gordon, and Jokic played 19.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Pickett, Braun, Watson, Gordon, and Jokic played 15.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Pickett, Braun, Westbrook, Gordon, and Jokic played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 13 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 5.7 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, Minott, Clark, and Randle played 4.6 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, McDaniels, Minott, Conley, and Gobert played 4.2 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, Dillingham, Gobert, and Randle played 4.0 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, McDaniels, Minott, and Randle played 3.3 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, Edwards, McDaniels, Clark, and Gobert played 2.7 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, McDaniels, Conley, Gobert, and Randle played 1.7 minutes together.

  • Alexander-Walker, McDaniels, Clark, Conley, and Gobert played 1.6 minutes together.

Denver Nuggets

  • Braun, Tyson, Westbrook, Jordan, and Gordon played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Pickett, Nnaji, Watson, Westbrook, and Jokic played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.

  • Pickett, Nnaji, Braun, Watson, and Jokic played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Pickett, Nnaji, Braun, Westbrook, and Jokic played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Nnaji, Braun, Watson, Westbrook, and Jokic played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.927
102.1% of capacity
Ball Arena · Denver
Scoring
279
combined points
51.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

56 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA
Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds · 00:19.5
Julius Randle → Nuggets
Randle (MIN) is the last player to touch the ball before it goes out of bounds and possession should have been awarded to Denver.
Turnover: Backcourt Turnover · 00:33.6
Anthony Edwards → Nuggets
Edwards (MIN) establishes the ball in the frontcourt, but then steps back onto the midcourt line.
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 00:34.5
Nikola Jokic → Timberwolves
Jokic (DEN) is in the paint for longer than three seconds without imminently actively guarding an opponent.