Win probability changed during the game. · 4 November 2025
It was more exciting than 37% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when PHI does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · PHI
Maxey · Edgecombe · Oubre · Embiid · Grimes
Closing lineup · CHI
Giddey · Okoro · Vucevic · Buzelis · Jones
Tyrese Maxey
39′ · +3
VJ Edgecombe
38′ · -5
Kelly Oubre Jr.
33′ · +2
Joel Embiid
26′ · +1
Jabari Walker
19′ · +8
Quentin Grimes
30′ · -13
Trendon Watford
19′ · +2
Adem Bona
22′ · -3
Jared McCain
15′ · -5
Josh Giddey
37′ · +8
Isaac Okoro
33′ · +4
Nikola Vucevic
31′ · +8
Matas Buzelis
30′ · +9
Tre Jones
27′ · -10
Kevin Huerter
25′ · +5
Patrick Williams
21′ · -8
Jalen Smith
17′ · -6
Dalen Terry
14′ · +2
Julian Phillips
5′ · -2
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHI and CHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Philadelphia 76ers
Oubre, Maxey, Walker, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 12.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 5.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Grimes, Maxey, Watford, Bona, and McCain played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Chicago Bulls
Okoro, Jones, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 10.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Huerter, Okoro, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 7.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Huerter, Okoro, Williams, Giddey, and Vucevic played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Philadelphia 76ers
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Watford, and Bona played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Watford, Walker, McCain, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Bona, and Edgecombe played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Grimes, Watford, Bona, McCain, and Edgecombe played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Grimes, Bona, McCain, and Edgecombe played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Oubre, Maxey, Watford, Bona, and Edgecombe played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Watford, and Embiid played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Grimes, Maxey, Bona, McCain, and Edgecombe played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Grimes, Maxey, Walker, Bona, and Edgecombe played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Grimes, Maxey, Walker, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Chicago Bulls
Huerter, Williams, Smith, Jones, and Terry played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Smith, Jones, Giddey, and Terry played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Okoro, Williams, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Huerter, Smith, Giddey, Terry, and Phillips played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Williams, Smith, Giddey, Terry, and Buzelis played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Okoro, Smith, Jones, Giddey, and Buzelis played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Huerter, Okoro, Jones, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Okoro, Williams, Jones, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Huerter, Williams, Smith, Jones, and Buzelis played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Okoro, Jones, Phillips, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Huerter, Smith, Jones, Terry, and Phillips played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
