Win probability changed during the game. · 18 December 2025
It was more exciting than 91% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 42 times
- · It stayed close for almost the whole game
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Bridges · Anunoby · Hukporti · Diawara · Kolek
Closing lineup · IND
Siakam · Mathurin · Nembhard · Huff · Mathews
Mikal Bridges
37′ · +9
Jalen Brunson
34′ · -16
OG Anunoby
34′ · +11
Ariel Hukporti
27′ · 0
Mohamed Diawara
19′ · -6
Trey Jemison III
18′ · +1
Guerschon Yabusele
11′ · -17
Jordan Clarkson
29′ · +7
Tyler Kolek
26′ · +11
Pacome Dadiet
4′ · +3
Kevin McCullar Jr.
0′ · 0
Pascal Siakam
38′ · +3
Bennedict Mathurin
38′ · +9
Andrew Nembhard
37′ · +15
Quenton Jackson
27′ · +14
Jay Huff
18′ · +4
Isaiah Jackson
26′ · -5
Jarace Walker
16′ · -7
Garrison Mathews
8′ · -15
T.J. McConnell
18′ · -15
Johnny Furphy
6′ · -8
Tony Bradley
4′ · 0
Ethan Thompson
4′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and IND.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Hukporti, and Diawara played 6.2 minutes together.
Anunoby, Bridges, Hukporti, Kolek, and Clarkson played 5.8 minutes together.
Anunoby, Bridges, Jemison, Kolek, and Clarkson played 4.8 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each New York Knicks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Indiana Pacers
Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, and Jackson played 10.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 13 points.
Siakam, Nembhard, Jackson, Mathurin, and Jackson played 9.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Siakam, Bradley, Nembhard, Thompson, and Mathurin played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Hukporti, and Kolek played 4.1 minutes together.
Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Hukporti, and Clarkson played 3.1 minutes together.
Bridges, Jemison, Kolek, Diawara, and Clarkson played 3.0 minutes together.
Yabusele, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and Kolek played 2.7 minutes together.
Brunson, Jemison, Dadiet, Diawara, and Clarkson played 2.6 minutes together.
Yabusele, Bridges, Brunson, Jemison, and Clarkson played 2.5 minutes together.
Anunoby, Brunson, Hukporti, Kolek, and Diawara played 2.2 minutes together.
Yabusele, Bridges, Brunson, Hukporti, and Diawara played 1.8 minutes together.
Yabusele, Anunoby, Brunson, Jemison, and Clarkson played 1.8 minutes together.
Anunoby, Brunson, Hukporti, Kolek, and Clarkson played 1.7 minutes together.
Yabusele, Brunson, Jemison, Kolek, and Clarkson played 1.4 minutes together.
Yabusele, Bridges, Brunson, Jemison, and Diawara played 1.1 minutes together.
Brunson, Hukporti, Dadiet, Diawara, and Clarkson played 1.0 minutes together.
Indiana Pacers
Nembhard, Jackson, Mathurin, Jackson, and Walker played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Siakam, Jackson, Jackson, Walker, and McConnell played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, and McConnell played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Siakam, Mathews, Huff, Furphy, and McConnell played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Nembhard, Jackson, Mathurin, Walker, and McConnell played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Nembhard, Mathews, Jackson, Mathurin, and Walker played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Siakam, Jackson, Mathurin, Furphy, and McConnell played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Mathews, Jackson, Mathurin, Walker, and McConnell played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Siakam, Nembhard, Jackson, Walker, and McConnell played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

