SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 12 January 2026

BOS96–98IND
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 70% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Payton Pritchard
Derrick White
Sam Hauser
Baylor Scheierman
Anfernee Simons

Pritchard · White · Hauser · Scheierman · Simons

Closing lineup · IND

Pascal Siakam
Andrew Nembhard
Aaron Nesmith
Ben Sheppard
Jarace Walker

Siakam · Nembhard · Nesmith · Sheppard · Walker

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

37′ · +1

Derrick White

Derrick White

36′ · +1

Sam Hauser

Sam Hauser

33′ · -6

Neemias Queta

Neemias Queta

32′ · -12

Baylor Scheierman

Baylor Scheierman

20′ · -8

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

24′ · -4

Luka Garza

Luka Garza

16′ · +10

Jordan Walsh

Jordan Walsh

26′ · +4

Hugo Gonzalez

Hugo Gonzalez

15′ · +4

IND
Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

34′ · +11

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

33′ · +12

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

32′ · -8

Jay Huff

Jay Huff

28′ · +20

Johnny Furphy

Johnny Furphy

16′ · +12

Ben Sheppard

Ben Sheppard

23′ · -16

Jarace Walker

Jarace Walker

25′ · -5

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

15′ · -10

Micah Potter

Micah Potter

13′ · -11

Quenton Jackson

Quenton Jackson

15′ · +6

Tony Bradley

Tony Bradley

6′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • White, Queta, Pritchard, Hauser, and Scheierman played 12.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • White, Queta, Pritchard, Hauser, and Walsh played 8.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Simons, Pritchard, Garza, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 6.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Huff, and Furphy played 10.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Nesmith, Potter, Walker, Sheppard, and McConnell played 6.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Sheppard, and Furphy played 5.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • White, Simons, Garza, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • White, Simons, Queta, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • White, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Scheierman played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • White, Simons, Queta, Hauser, and Walsh played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Simons, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Scheierman played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • White, Simons, Queta, Pritchard, and Hauser played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Simons, Queta, Pritchard, Hauser, and Scheierman played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Jackson, and Walker played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Siakam, Bradley, Nembhard, Jackson, and Walker played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Huff, and Sheppard played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Nesmith, Huff, Jackson, Walker, and McConnell played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Nesmith, Potter, Walker, and McConnell played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Nembhard, Nesmith, Huff, Jackson, and Sheppard played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Potter, Walker, and Sheppard played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bradley, Nesmith, Jackson, Walker, and McConnell played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Potter, and Sheppard played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Nesmith, Walker, Sheppard, and McConnell played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
15.650
87.3% of capacity
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
Scoring
194
combined points
37.2 below the season average (231.2)