SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 5 February 2026

UTA119–121ATL
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 94% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 32 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ATL winsUTA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ATL leads and falls when UTA does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · UTA

Isaiah Collier
Ace Bailey
Cody Williams
Kyle Filipowski
Oscar Tshiebwe

Collier · Bailey · Williams · Filipowski · Tshiebwe

Closing lineup · ATL

Jalen Johnson
Dyson Daniels
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Jock Landale
Mouhamed Gueye

Johnson · Daniels · Alexander-Walker · Landale · Gueye

Q1Q2Q3Q4
UTA
Isaiah Collier

Isaiah Collier

48′ · -2

Ace Bailey

Ace Bailey

40′ · 0

Cody Williams

Cody Williams

38′ · -10

Kyle Filipowski

Kyle Filipowski

28′ · -6

Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

23′ · -3

Brice Sensabaugh

Brice Sensabaugh

30′ · +2

Svi Mykhailiuk

Svi Mykhailiuk

23′ · +10

Oscar Tshiebwe

Oscar Tshiebwe

10′ · -1

ATL
Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson

39′ · +7

Dyson Daniels

Dyson Daniels

35′ · +9

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

34′ · +10

Jock Landale

Jock Landale

32′ · +10

Zaccharie Risacher

Zaccharie Risacher

19′ · -8

CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum

32′ · 0

Corey Kispert

Corey Kispert

25′ · -5

Asa Newell

Asa Newell

16′ · -8

Mouhamed Gueye

Mouhamed Gueye

9′ · -5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. UTA and ATL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Utah Jazz

  • Markkanen, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 10.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Markkanen, Sensabaugh, Williams, Collier, and Bailey played 9.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mykhailiuk, Sensabaugh, Williams, Collier, and Filipowski played 7.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Landale, Alexander-Walker, Johnson, Daniels, and Risacher played 10.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Landale, Alexander-Walker, Johnson, Daniels, and McCollum played 9.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 17 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, Johnson, Kispert, Newell, and McCollum played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Utah Jazz

  • Mykhailiuk, Sensabaugh, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Mykhailiuk, Tshiebwe, Sensabaugh, Collier, and Bailey played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Tshiebwe, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Mykhailiuk, Tshiebwe, Williams, Collier, and Bailey played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, Williams, Collier, and Bailey played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Sensabaugh, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, Sensabaugh, Collier, and Bailey played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Alexander-Walker, Kispert, Gueye, Newell, and McCollum played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Kispert, Daniels, Gueye, Newell, and McCollum played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Johnson, Kispert, Daniels, Newell, and McCollum played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Landale, Kispert, Daniels, Gueye, and McCollum played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Landale, Alexander-Walker, Johnson, Kispert, and Risacher played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Landale, Johnson, Kispert, Daniels, and McCollum played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Landale, Johnson, Daniels, Risacher, and McCollum played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, Johnson, Kispert, Risacher, and Newell played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Landale, Alexander-Walker, Johnson, Risacher, and McCollum played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
15.412
90.4% of capacity
State Farm Arena · Atlanta
Scoring
240
combined points
8.8 above the season average (231.2)