Win probability changed during the game. · 5 June 2026
It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAS leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Bridges · Anunoby · Hart · Shamet · Robinson
Closing lineup · SAS
Wembanyama · Vassell · Castle · Harper · Kornet
Mikal Bridges
41′ · +7
Jalen Brunson
38′ · -10
OG Anunoby
37′ · -9
Karl-Anthony Towns
34′ · +11
Josh Hart
18′ · -3
Landry Shamet
30′ · +9
Miles McBride
18′ · -1
Mitchell Robinson
14′ · -10
Jose Alvarado
10′ · +11
Victor Wembanyama
40′ · +6
Devin Vassell
38′ · +6
Julian Champagnie
36′ · -8
De'Aaron Fox
34′ · +2
Stephon Castle
28′ · -6
Dylan Harper
32′ · +12
Keldon Johnson
16′ · -5
Luke Kornet
8′ · -7
Carter Bryant
3′ · 0
Harrison Barnes
5′ · -5
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and SAS.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 11.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and Shamet played 9.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
Bridges, Robinson, Shamet, McBride, and Alvarado played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
San Antonio Spurs
Fox, Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Harper played 9.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 15 points.
Fox, Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Castle played 9.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Johnson, Champagnie, Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Anunoby, Brunson, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Robinson, and Shamet played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Towns, Anunoby, Shamet, McBride, and Alvarado played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Towns, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Shamet played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Towns, Bridges, Brunson, Shamet, and McBride played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Robinson played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Towns, Hart, Bridges, McBride, and Alvarado played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Towns, Hart, Bridges, Shamet, and Alvarado played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
San Antonio Spurs
Johnson, Vassell, Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Fox, Vassell, Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Fox, Kornet, Vassell, Harper, and Bryant played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Johnson, Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Harper played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Fox, Johnson, Vassell, Wembanyama, and Castle played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Kornet, Johnson, Champagnie, Castle, and Harper played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Fox, Kornet, Vassell, Harper, and Barnes played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Fox, Johnson, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Harper played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Fox, Champagnie, Wembanyama, Castle, and Barnes played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Fox, Johnson, Vassell, Champagnie, and Wembanyama played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Fox, Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, and Bryant played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Vassell, Champagnie, Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
