SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 1 May 2026

CLE110–112TOR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 90% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 34 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsCLE wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when CLE does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CLE

James Harden
Evan Mobley
Donovan Mitchell
Max Strus
Dean Wade

Harden · Mobley · Mitchell · Strus · Wade

Closing lineup · TOR

Scottie Barnes
Ja'Kobe Walter
RJ Barrett
Jamal Shead
Collin Murray-Boyles

Barnes · Walter · Barrett · Shead · Murray-Boyles

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
CLE
James Harden

James Harden

44′ · +11

Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley

41′ · -3

Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

41′ · -4

Jarrett Allen

Jarrett Allen

34′ · +8

Max Strus

Max Strus

20′ · -4

Dean Wade

Dean Wade

28′ · +10

Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill

18′ · -6

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

16′ · -9

Jaylon Tyson

Jaylon Tyson

16′ · -6

Thomas Bryant

Thomas Bryant

7′ · -7

TOR
Scottie Barnes

Scottie Barnes

48′ · +2

Ja'Kobe Walter

Ja'Kobe Walter

43′ · -6

RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett

43′ · +9

Jamal Shead

Jamal Shead

33′ · +6

Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl

22′ · 0

Collin Murray-Boyles

Collin Murray-Boyles

40′ · +2

Jamison Battle

Jamison Battle

11′ · -6

Sandro Mamukelashvili

Sandro Mamukelashvili

14′ · +4

A.J. Lawson

A.J. Lawson

10′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CLE and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Mitchell, Allen, Wade, Mobley, and Harden played 13.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Mitchell, Allen, Strus, Mobley, and Harden played 10.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Mitchell, Allen, Mobley, Harden, and Schroder played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Toronto Raptors

  • Barrett, Barnes, Walter, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 14.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Poeltl, Barrett, Barnes, Walter, and Shead played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Barrett, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Lawson, and Murray-Boyles played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Mitchell, Wade, Merrill, Mobley, and Schroder played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Allen, Strus, Wade, Merrill, and Harden played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mitchell, Bryant, Wade, Tyson, and Schroder played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Mitchell, Bryant, Mobley, Tyson, and Harden played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Allen, Wade, Merrill, Tyson, and Harden played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mitchell, Strus, Merrill, Mobley, and Harden played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mitchell, Bryant, Mobley, Tyson, and Schroder played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Strus, Merrill, Mobley, Tyson, and Harden played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Merrill, Mobley, Tyson, Harden, and Schroder played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Strus, Merrill, Mobley, Harden, and Schroder played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Allen, Strus, Wade, Tyson, and Harden played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mitchell, Wade, Merrill, Tyson, and Schroder played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Toronto Raptors

  • Barrett, Barnes, Walter, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Barrett, Walter, Shead, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Poeltl, Barrett, Lawson, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Poeltl, Barrett, Barnes, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Poeltl, Barrett, Barnes, Lawson, and Shead played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Poeltl, Barnes, Walter, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Poeltl, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Walter, and Battle played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Barrett, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Walter, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Lawson, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Poeltl, Barrett, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, and Shead played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Poeltl, Barrett, Barnes, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Barnes, Walter, Shead, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Barrett, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.919
100.6% of capacity
Scotiabank Arena · Toronto
Series
Game 6
First round
CLE 4-3
Scoring
222
combined points
6.1 above the season average (215.9)