What if…?
Without Josh Hart, New York Knicks were 9.1 points per game worse
66 games with him · 14 without, in 2025-26
-9.1
points per game
Confidence: lowData through: 2025-26
The question
What would have changed if Josh Hart had not played?
The evidence
Without Josh Hart, New York Knicks were 9.1 points per game worse
-0.93 points per gamecompared against: 8.15 points per game (-9.08 · -111 %) · With Josh Hart in the box score
The fact
What actually happened, game by game, in 2025-26. None of this is an estimate.
With Josh Hart in the box score
+8.15 points per game
66 games · 44-22 · 117.1 – 109.0
Without him
-0.93 points per game
14 games · 8-6 · 114.5 – 115.4
The assumptions
What we decided in order to answer. If an assumption does not hold for you, neither does the answer.
- That the 14 games without him represent a whole season without him.
- That opponent quality is spread evenly across both groups. We have not controlled for it.
- That other absences do not systematically coincide with his.
The estimated result
Arithmetic on the two figures above, nothing else: the per-game difference carried over a 82-game season.
- points of margin per game-9.08
- Across 82 games that is -745 points of accumulated margin.
FactDerivedAssumption
What this does not prove
- This does not say he is the cause. A team without its best player also changes rotation, opponent and schedule at the same time.
- It rests on 14 games without him. At that sample size, a couple of odd games move the number.
- It is not a forecast for next season: it is what happened in the one already played.
From here
Where it comes from
Source
2026-04-10
Model input
not stated
Computation
not stated
This answer
2026-10-12
Where this comes from
Box scores · closed season · its clock is the seasonGame results · closed season · its clock is the season
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