What if…?
Without Tre Jones, Chicago Bulls were 6.9 points per game worse
65 games with him · 17 without, in 2025-26
-6.9
points per game
Confidence: mediumData through: 2025-26
The question
What would have changed if Tre Jones had not played?
The evidence
Without Tre Jones, Chicago Bulls were 6.9 points per game worse
-10.65 points per gamecompared against: -3.78 points per game (-6.87 · -182 %) · With Tre Jones in the box score
The fact
What actually happened, game by game, in 2025-26. None of this is an estimate.
With Tre Jones in the box score
-3.78 points per game
65 games · 27-38 · 117.0 – 120.8
Without him
-10.65 points per game
17 games · 4-13 · 113.6 – 124.2
The assumptions
What we decided in order to answer. If an assumption does not hold for you, neither does the answer.
- That the 17 games without him represent a whole season without him.
- That opponent quality is spread evenly across both groups. We have not controlled for it.
- That other absences do not systematically coincide with his.
The estimated result
Arithmetic on the two figures above, nothing else: the per-game difference carried over a 82-game season.
- points of margin per game-6.87
- Across 82 games that is -563 points of accumulated margin.
FactDerivedAssumption
What this does not prove
- This does not say he is the cause. A team without its best player also changes rotation, opponent and schedule at the same time.
- It rests on 17 games without him. At that sample size, a couple of odd games move the number.
- It is not a forecast for next season: it is what happened in the one already played.
From here
Where it comes from
Source
2026-04-12
Model input
not stated
Computation
not stated
This answer
2026-10-13
Where this comes from
Box scores · closed season · its clock is the seasonGame results · closed season · its clock is the season
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