SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 20 January 2019

PHX114–116MIN
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 16 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsPHX wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when PHX does.

Game context

Attendance
14.607
81% of capacity
Target Center · Minneapolis
Scoring
230
combined points
7.6 above the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

17 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors