SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 29 January 2019

PHX124–126SAS
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 60% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAS winsPHX wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAS leads and falls when PHX does.

Game context

Attendance
18.121
98.7% of capacity
Frost Bank Center · San Antonio
Scoring
250
combined points
27.6 above the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

15 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 00:22.8
Devin Booker → Marco Belinelli
RLS shows Booker (PHX) makes contact to Belinelli's (SAS) arm, affecting his ability to maintain control of the ball.
Foul: Loose Ball · 01:33.1
LaMarcus Aldridge → Kelly Oubre
Aldridge (SAS) makes contact with Oubre Jr.'s (PHX) head during rebounding that affects his ability to retrieve the ball.