SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 8 November 2019

PHI97–100DEN
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 57% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 18 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DEN winsPHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DEN leads and falls when PHI does.

Game context

Attendance
19.520
100% of capacity
Ball Arena · Denver
Scoring
197
combined points
26.6 below the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

15 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:00.9
Joel Embiid → Nikola Jokic
During the inbound, Jokic (DEN) places his hand to the opposite side of Embiid's (PHI) hip and brings his hand to a pause. As Jokic releases his hand from Embii's hip, he grasps Embiid's jersey and affects his FOM. A personal foul should be called instead of an offensive foul.