SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 8 November 2019

MIL100–103UTA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 80% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ UTA winsMIL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when MIL does.

Game context

Attendance
18.306
100% of capacity
Delta Center · Salt Lake City
Scoring
203
combined points
20.6 below the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

17 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:02.2
Brook Lopez → Royce O'Neale
Lopez (MIL) extends his elbow into O'Neale (UTA) and moves laterally as he screens, preventing O'Neale from disengaging from the contact.
Foul: Personal · 00:39.1
George Hill → Donovan Mitchell
Hill (MIL) makes contact with Mitchell's (UTA) arm causing him to lose the ball.