SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 9 December 2019

SAC119–118HOU
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 91% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ HOU winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when HOU leads and falls when SAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Cory Joseph
Harrison Barnes
Buddy Hield
Nemanja Bjelica
Bogdan Bogdanovic

Joseph · Barnes · Hield · Bjelica · Bogdanovic

Closing lineup · HOU

James Harden
Clint Capela
Russell Westbrook
P.J. Tucker
Danuel House Jr.

Harden · Capela · Westbrook · Tucker · House

Q1Q2Q3Q4
SAC
Cory Joseph

Cory Joseph

38′ · +5

Richaun Holmes

Richaun Holmes

36′ · +3

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

33′ · +7

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

33′ · +14

Nemanja Bjelica

Nemanja Bjelica

30′ · -7

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic

32′ · -5

Trevor Ariza

Trevor Ariza

26′ · 0

Yogi Ferrell

Yogi Ferrell

11′ · -12

HOU
James Harden

James Harden

40′ · -6

Clint Capela

Clint Capela

37′ · -1

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

36′ · +1

P.J. Tucker

P.J. Tucker

35′ · -3

Danuel House Jr.

Danuel House Jr.

34′ · -19

Ben McLemore

Ben McLemore

33′ · +14

Gary Clark

Gary Clark

22′ · +6

Chris Clemons

Chris Clemons

4′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and HOU.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

  • Holmes, Hield, Bjelica, Joseph, and Barnes played 12.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 13 points.

  • Ferrell, Bjelica, Barnes, Bogdanovic, and Ariza played 7.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Holmes, Hield, Joseph, Barnes, and Bogdanovic played 6.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

Houston Rockets

  • House, Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, and Capela played 14.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 15 points.

  • House, Clark, Westbrook, McLemore, and Capela played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • House, Tucker, Harden, McLemore, and Capela played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

  • Holmes, Hield, Joseph, Bogdanovic, and Ariza played 6.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Holmes, Joseph, Barnes, Bogdanovic, and Ariza played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Holmes, Bjelica, Joseph, Bogdanovic, and Ariza played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Holmes, Hield, Bjelica, Joseph, and Bogdanovic played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Hield, Joseph, Barnes, Bogdanovic, and Ariza played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Hield, Ferrell, Bjelica, Barnes, and Ariza played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hield, Ferrell, Bjelica, Joseph, and Ariza played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Holmes, Ferrell, Bjelica, Bogdanovic, and Ariza played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Houston Rockets

  • Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, McLemore, and Capela played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • Clark, Tucker, Harden, McLemore, and Capela played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Clark, Clemons, Westbrook, Harden, and McLemore played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Clark, Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, and McLemore played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • House, Clark, Tucker, Harden, and McLemore played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • House, Clark, Westbrook, Harden, and McLemore played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • House, Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, and McLemore played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.055
100% of capacity
Toyota Center · Houston
Scoring
237
combined points
13.4 above the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

19 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 00:32.3
Cory Joseph → James Harden
Joseph (SAC) makes contact with Harden (HOU) on the perimeter that affects Harden's SQBR.