SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 7 January 2020

POR101–99TOR
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 51% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when POR does.

Game context

Attendance
19.800
100% of capacity
Scotiabank Arena · Toronto
Scoring
200
combined points
23.6 below the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:40.2
Hassan Whiteside → Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
Whiteside (POR) is late to the spot and delivers leg to leg contact which affects Hollis-Jefferson's (TOR) ability to defend.