Win probability changed during the game. · 7 February 2020
It was more exciting than 95% of NBA games since 2017
- · It stayed close for almost the whole game
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when DAL does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · DAL
Hardaway · Brunson · Kleber · Cauley-Stein · Marjanovic
Closing lineup · WAS
Hachimura · Mahinmi · Bertans · Wagner · Pasečņiks
Dorian Finney-Smith
35′ · +4
Tim Hardaway Jr.
35′ · +9
Jalen Brunson
31′ · +4
Kristaps Porzingis
21′ · -3
Courtney Lee
17′ · +1
Seth Curry
29′ · -4
Maxi Kleber
26′ · -8
Delon Wright
19′ · -3
Ryan Broekhoff
5′ · -1
Justin Jackson
12′ · -10
Willie Cauley-Stein
9′ · +2
Boban Marjanovic
0′ · 0
Bradley Beal
39′ · 0
Ish Smith
30′ · -12
Rui Hachimura
29′ · -7
Isaac Bonga
24′ · -1
Ian Mahinmi
18′ · -9
Davis Bertans
31′ · +13
Moritz Wagner
18′ · +5
Troy Brown Jr.
28′ · +3
Shabazz Napier
18′ · +12
Garrison Mathews
5′ · 0
Anžejs Pasečņiks
0′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DAL and WAS.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Dallas Mavericks
Finney-Smith, Brunson, Lee, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 8.3 minutes together.
Finney-Smith, Kleber, Brunson, Hardaway, and Curry played 7.3 minutes together.
Finney-Smith, Jackson, Brunson, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 4.4 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Dallas Mavericks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Washington Wizards
Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bonga, Smith, and Beal played 11.4 minutes together.
Brown, Wagner, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 6.9 minutes together.
Brown, Wagner, Bonga, Bertans, and Napier played 4.1 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Washington Wizards lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
▸See every lineup of the game
Dallas Mavericks
Cauley-Stein, Finney-Smith, Brunson, Lee, and Hardaway played 3.2 minutes together.
Finney-Smith, Brunson, Hardaway, Curry, and Porzingis played 2.9 minutes together.
Wright, Jackson, Kleber, Lee, and Curry played 2.7 minutes together.
Wright, Finney-Smith, Kleber, Broekhoff, and Curry played 2.3 minutes together.
Wright, Cauley-Stein, Finney-Smith, Kleber, and Curry played 2.2 minutes together.
Wright, Jackson, Kleber, Curry, and Porzingis played 2.0 minutes together.
Wright, Kleber, Hardaway, Curry, and Porzingis played 1.6 minutes together.
Wright, Kleber, Broekhoff, Lee, and Curry played 1.5 minutes together.
Wright, Kleber, Broekhoff, Hardaway, and Curry played 1.5 minutes together.
Wright, Finney-Smith, Brunson, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 1.5 minutes together.
Cauley-Stein, Brunson, Lee, Hardaway, and Curry played 1.5 minutes together.
Wright, Cauley-Stein, Kleber, Hardaway, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.
Finney-Smith, Jackson, Kleber, Brunson, and Hardaway played 1.1 minutes together.
Washington Wizards
Hachimura, Bonga, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 4.0 minutes together.
Brown, Hachimura, Mathews, Bertans, and Napier played 4.0 minutes together.
Mahinmi, Bonga, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 3.3 minutes together.
Mahinmi, Brown, Hachimura, Smith, and Beal played 3.2 minutes together.
Brown, Wagner, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.2 minutes together.
Brown, Wagner, Hachimura, Smith, and Beal played 2.2 minutes together.
Brown, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 2.0 minutes together.
Brown, Hachimura, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.0 minutes together.
Wagner, Bonga, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.5 minutes together.
Brown, Wagner, Mathews, Bertans, and Napier played 1.4 minutes together.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

