SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 7 February 2020

DAL118–119WAS
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 95% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsDAL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when DAL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · DAL

Tim Hardaway Jr.
Jalen Brunson
Maxi Kleber
Willie Cauley-Stein
Boban Marjanovic

Hardaway · Brunson · Kleber · Cauley-Stein · Marjanovic

Closing lineup · WAS

Rui Hachimura
Ian Mahinmi
Davis Bertans
Moritz Wagner
Anžejs Pasečņiks

Hachimura · Mahinmi · Bertans · Wagner · Pasečņiks

Q1Q2Q3Q4
DAL
Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith

35′ · +4

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

35′ · +9

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

31′ · +4

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

21′ · -3

Courtney Lee

Courtney Lee

17′ · +1

Seth Curry

Seth Curry

29′ · -4

Maxi Kleber

Maxi Kleber

26′ · -8

Delon Wright

Delon Wright

19′ · -3

Ryan Broekhoff

Ryan Broekhoff

5′ · -1

Justin Jackson

Justin Jackson

12′ · -10

Willie Cauley-Stein

Willie Cauley-Stein

9′ · +2

Boban Marjanovic

Boban Marjanovic

0′ · 0

WAS
Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

39′ · 0

Ish Smith

Ish Smith

30′ · -12

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

29′ · -7

Isaac Bonga

Isaac Bonga

24′ · -1

Ian Mahinmi

Ian Mahinmi

18′ · -9

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

31′ · +13

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

18′ · +5

Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr.

28′ · +3

Shabazz Napier

Shabazz Napier

18′ · +12

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

5′ · 0

Anžejs Pasečņiks

Anžejs Pasečņiks

0′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DAL and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Dallas Mavericks

  • Finney-Smith, Brunson, Lee, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 8.3 minutes together.

  • Finney-Smith, Kleber, Brunson, Hardaway, and Curry played 7.3 minutes together.

  • Finney-Smith, Jackson, Brunson, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 4.4 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Dallas Mavericks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Washington Wizards

  • Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bonga, Smith, and Beal played 11.4 minutes together.

  • Brown, Wagner, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 6.9 minutes together.

  • Brown, Wagner, Bonga, Bertans, and Napier played 4.1 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Washington Wizards lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Dallas Mavericks

  • Cauley-Stein, Finney-Smith, Brunson, Lee, and Hardaway played 3.2 minutes together.

  • Finney-Smith, Brunson, Hardaway, Curry, and Porzingis played 2.9 minutes together.

  • Wright, Jackson, Kleber, Lee, and Curry played 2.7 minutes together.

  • Wright, Finney-Smith, Kleber, Broekhoff, and Curry played 2.3 minutes together.

  • Wright, Cauley-Stein, Finney-Smith, Kleber, and Curry played 2.2 minutes together.

  • Wright, Jackson, Kleber, Curry, and Porzingis played 2.0 minutes together.

  • Wright, Kleber, Hardaway, Curry, and Porzingis played 1.6 minutes together.

  • Wright, Kleber, Broekhoff, Lee, and Curry played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Wright, Kleber, Broekhoff, Hardaway, and Curry played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Wright, Finney-Smith, Brunson, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Cauley-Stein, Brunson, Lee, Hardaway, and Curry played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Wright, Cauley-Stein, Kleber, Hardaway, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.

  • Finney-Smith, Jackson, Kleber, Brunson, and Hardaway played 1.1 minutes together.

Washington Wizards

  • Hachimura, Bonga, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 4.0 minutes together.

  • Brown, Hachimura, Mathews, Bertans, and Napier played 4.0 minutes together.

  • Mahinmi, Bonga, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 3.3 minutes together.

  • Mahinmi, Brown, Hachimura, Smith, and Beal played 3.2 minutes together.

  • Brown, Wagner, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.2 minutes together.

  • Brown, Wagner, Hachimura, Smith, and Beal played 2.2 minutes together.

  • Brown, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 2.0 minutes together.

  • Brown, Hachimura, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.0 minutes together.

  • Wagner, Bonga, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Brown, Wagner, Mathews, Bertans, and Napier played 1.4 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
20.476
100.7% of capacity
Capital One Arena · Washington
Scoring
237
combined points
13.4 above the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors