Win probability changed during the game. · 26 February 2020
It was more exciting than 95% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 23 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when BKN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · BKN
LeVert · Dinwiddie · Harris · Prince · Jordan
Closing lineup · WAS
Beal · Hachimura · Bonga · Bertans · Robinson
Caris LeVert
34′ · +2
Spencer Dinwiddie
33′ · -5
Joe Harris
29′ · -11
Taurean Prince
25′ · +2
Jarrett Allen
18′ · -3
Garrett Temple
34′ · -6
DeAndre Jordan
30′ · -1
Rodions Kurucs
17′ · -3
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
19′ · +5
Bradley Beal
39′ · +8
Rui Hachimura
27′ · 0
Shabazz Napier
24′ · -1
Ian Mahinmi
20′ · -2
Isaac Bonga
17′ · +6
Ish Smith
23′ · +4
Davis Bertans
30′ · +3
Thomas Bryant
15′ · +2
Jerome Robinson
20′ · +6
Moritz Wagner
13′ · +2
Troy Brown Jr.
13′ · -8
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and WAS.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Brooklyn Nets
LeVert, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Kurucs, Jordan, and Temple played 10.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
LeVert, Prince, Allen, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 8.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
LeVert, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Allen, Kurucs, and Temple played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Washington Wizards
Mahinmi, Brown, Hachimura, Beal, and Napier played 6.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bonga, Beal, and Napier played 6.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Robinson, Wagner, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 4.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
Brooklyn Nets
LeVert, Jordan, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Prince, Allen, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Prince, Jordan, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
LeVert, Prince, Jordan, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Kurucs, Jordan, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
LeVert, Prince, Jordan, Temple, and Dinwiddie played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Prince, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Jordan, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Prince, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Jordan, Temple, and Dinwiddie played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
LeVert, Allen, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Washington Wizards
Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bonga, Smith, and Beal played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Bryant, Robinson, Bonga, Smith, and Bertans played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Robinson, Wagner, Bonga, Smith, and Bertans played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Bryant, Brown, Robinson, Smith, and Bertans played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Wagner, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Bryant, Brown, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Bryant, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Bryant, Robinson, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Mahinmi, Robinson, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Robinson, Wagner, Hachimura, Beal, and Napier played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Bryant, Hachimura, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Bryant, Brown, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

