SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 26 February 2020

BKN106–110WAS
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 95% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 23 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when BKN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BKN

Caris LeVert
Spencer Dinwiddie
Joe Harris
Taurean Prince
DeAndre Jordan

LeVert · Dinwiddie · Harris · Prince · Jordan

Closing lineup · WAS

Bradley Beal
Rui Hachimura
Isaac Bonga
Davis Bertans
Jerome Robinson

Beal · Hachimura · Bonga · Bertans · Robinson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BKN
Caris LeVert

Caris LeVert

34′ · +2

Spencer Dinwiddie

Spencer Dinwiddie

33′ · -5

Joe Harris

Joe Harris

29′ · -11

Taurean Prince

Taurean Prince

25′ · +2

Jarrett Allen

Jarrett Allen

18′ · -3

Garrett Temple

Garrett Temple

34′ · -6

DeAndre Jordan

DeAndre Jordan

30′ · -1

Rodions Kurucs

Rodions Kurucs

17′ · -3

Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot

Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot

19′ · +5

WAS
Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

39′ · +8

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

27′ · 0

Shabazz Napier

Shabazz Napier

24′ · -1

Ian Mahinmi

Ian Mahinmi

20′ · -2

Isaac Bonga

Isaac Bonga

17′ · +6

Ish Smith

Ish Smith

23′ · +4

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

30′ · +3

Thomas Bryant

Thomas Bryant

15′ · +2

Jerome Robinson

Jerome Robinson

20′ · +6

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

13′ · +2

Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr.

13′ · -8

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Brooklyn Nets

  • LeVert, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Kurucs, Jordan, and Temple played 10.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • LeVert, Prince, Allen, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 8.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • LeVert, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Allen, Kurucs, and Temple played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Washington Wizards

  • Mahinmi, Brown, Hachimura, Beal, and Napier played 6.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bonga, Beal, and Napier played 6.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Robinson, Wagner, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Brooklyn Nets

  • LeVert, Jordan, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Prince, Allen, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Prince, Jordan, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • LeVert, Prince, Jordan, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kurucs, Jordan, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • LeVert, Prince, Jordan, Temple, and Dinwiddie played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Prince, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Jordan, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Prince, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Jordan, Temple, and Dinwiddie played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • LeVert, Allen, Temple, Dinwiddie, and Harris played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bonga, Smith, and Beal played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Bryant, Robinson, Bonga, Smith, and Bertans played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Robinson, Wagner, Bonga, Smith, and Bertans played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Bryant, Brown, Robinson, Smith, and Bertans played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Wagner, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Bryant, Brown, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Bryant, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mahinmi, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Bryant, Robinson, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Mahinmi, Robinson, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Robinson, Wagner, Hachimura, Beal, and Napier played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bryant, Hachimura, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bryant, Brown, Bertans, Beal, and Napier played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
15.021
73.9% of capacity
Capital One Arena · Washington
Scoring
216
combined points
7.6 below the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

15 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Loose Ball · 00:02.7
Rui Hachimura → Garrett Temple
Hachimura (WAS) grabs Temple's (BKN) shoulder and front and restricts his ability to reach for the rebound.